December 4, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Chorite | 1.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Revolving Storm | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | E Lizzy | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | La Nena de Papa | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Causeway Cutie | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grande Beso | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Royal Melbourne | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Fire Rooster | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Alex’s Fast Lane | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Border Agent | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Simma Cum Laude | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cloudy Saturday | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Joe the Boss | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pleasant Sojourn | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | De Punta a Punta | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Brandon’s Law | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | All in Girl | 0.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Blue Harbor | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Offlee Risque | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jerseymooseisloose | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Rage | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Get Over It | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Carole’s Rainbow | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Loyal Aficionada | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wait for It | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ruby Bleu | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jeezum Jim | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | King Koa | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hidden Funds | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hodor | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Razzo | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jw’strickymischief | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Big Louie D | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Winning the Medal | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yeah Rocky | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thomas Knight | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | South Sea | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stand and Salute | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Runner | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Friday Mass | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moon Chant | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spring Away | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Donna’s Dunkirk | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Orquidea | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whitney Cove | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Abuela Loca | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Charming Indy | 0.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5A | 5 | One Sided | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Act of Madness | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2A | 2 | High Dollar Kitten | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alturist | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Rivet | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Battle Tap | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kraken Glacken | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Roman Revival | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mia Bella Rossa | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jemrose | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Axe Capital | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mary Costa | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Angie Grand | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ebony Ball | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Captain Sam | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Charlybrown’s Rose | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Girls and Guns | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Exotic Appeal | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Offender | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | A J’s Way | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Razzy’s Reward | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Insider | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Kion | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cape Cod Sun | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Unclenedwhodrank | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sambook | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Debonaire Man | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fist of Thor | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Proudmiamicitizen | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Money Maker | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.