December 2, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Token Vow | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Upper | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crackling Bread | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cheyenne Dancer | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Encountress | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Hand | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spacerika | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Brookes All Mine | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Powder | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Venue | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sunrise Royale | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Coco Kisses | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twisted Rosie | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smitten Kitten | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Arch Anthem | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Englander | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shaky Alibi | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Raging Tiger | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pointed | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dimkar (FR) | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Solar Warming | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Spirit | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Dedicated to You | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Go Ghetto | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Freddies Dream | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Preacher Roe | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hot Paris Night | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Banze No Oeste (BRZ) | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Monterey Shale | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vending Machine | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shirl’s Ready | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hard Arch | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Worthy Turk | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blitzkrieg | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Snazzy Dresser | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | East Rand | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Foxtail | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bahamian | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Offshore | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fortune of War (GB) | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kris’ Wild Kat | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Knickers | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Daddys Real Diva | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Don’tbeboisterous | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kate’s Princess | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Twirling Diamond | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Adorably Sweet | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sierra Sunrise | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Comegowithme | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Lately | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She’s a Brewer | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dr Wysong | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Matriarch S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ms Bad Behavior | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Vasilika | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quidura (GB) | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Uni (GB) | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mission Impassible (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Dona Bruja (ARG) | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fahan Mura | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Insta Erma | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Rymska (FR) | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Valadorna | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mopotism | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Excellent Sunset (IRE) | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Luminoso | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Daddy Is a Legend | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lord Simba | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Captain Scotty | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Lightning | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Calexman | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Greyvitos | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Street Vision | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Apalachee Bay | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Caecilius | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Silent Musketier | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Emotional Wreck | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 9 | Jefe | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Mobou | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Speakerofthehouse | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Loomis | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Noble Nebraskan | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Felix Leiter | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Leader of Men | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Mystical Moon | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Autumn Isabella | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.