December 2, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Javelin | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baseline | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Devine Entry | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I’m an Ocala Dude | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Appealing Henry | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gun for Hire | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Into Glamour | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Reconsider It | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Big Mischief | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Secret Quality | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Appreciate | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Figura (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magical Romance | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Saratoga Sass | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Kiss | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flying Pleasantly | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Analyze the Odds | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Transistor | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flatexcel | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gravitating | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Proximate to Power | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Thicket | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Packed House | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Platinum Nugget | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4A | 4 | Fleet Admiral | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Run for Boston | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Golconda | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Theresa’s Boy | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6A | 6 | Decadence | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Valmont | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blessed Honour | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Blue Skies Forever | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Horn Ranger | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Brovia | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Midnitesalright | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fight On Lucy | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Evan’s Nice Now | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Flush | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cheatham Hill | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shelley Ann | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Anydayisherday | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sander’s Empire | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bee’snbee’s | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Semaya | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Saratoga Heater | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Rectify | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Blue Belt | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bavaro | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bluegrass Flash | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Samadi Sky | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ultimateenticement | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Francis Freud | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sol the Freud | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Eagle Pass | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Wine Not | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Business Cycle | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aveenu Malcainu | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vincento | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bon Raison | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Barahin | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Got the Gist | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zecha | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Promise Me Roses | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fiveinthemorning | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Missbigtimes | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Grand Banks | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ramblin’ Ma’am | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Marikka | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Highleelikelee | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8A | 8 | Reyana Reya Dreams | 50.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 1A | 1 | Girlie’s Dream | 50.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Princess Alana | 50.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.