December 1, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Star Performer | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Fais Do Do | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yella Wally Gator | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bing | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Casual Cool | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Singing Ontherail | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fuhr a Slam | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Geauxcro | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Leap Baby Leap | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Motive | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ricky Dale | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Holy Sunrise | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Why Not Charlie | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jacobs Flyer | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Canny | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Weneedtotalk | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Acorn Street | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Quality | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cubs Win | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zena Rules | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Corluna | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | N. D. Free | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Speedacious | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Fugitive Lady | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Starlet Scarlett | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fort Polk | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Temple City Darlin | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kris T. | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Adieu Mallory | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tropicat | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Savage Battle | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Youdge | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | B B Special | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clouded Judgement | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wile E Peyote | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whiskey Bravo | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Marcia Rose | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Cool Sis | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Double Clutchin | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sunshine Deelite | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sucre | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | McIlhenny | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wasnt Joking | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Onetwomanyrockets | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | D’wildcat Indian | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Logical Myth | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Woman With a Book | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Uptown Ruler | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cowboys Dream | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Courtyard | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mr. Sarcastic | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Firewater Jake | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sam the Man | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cairo Holiday | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Hardcore Folklore | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cool Sailor | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lethal Levy | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Heavy Traffic | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Person to Person | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ukuru | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shining Knight | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tringale | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Steeles Run | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Loopallu | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Freakin Joe | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hawkins Lane | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Richard R. Scherer Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Student Body | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Nineteenth Street | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | One Last Shot | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She’s All Skeet | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Contributing | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wild About Star | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | On Probation | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Excessivespending | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sanity | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unbridled Courage | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Deer Valley | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Justa Lady | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Brielle’s Appeal | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Our Valor | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stonefactor | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Boom Bam Bing | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | El Tristan | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Don’t Fly Coach | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss You Jo | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jonamin | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ty C | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Last Flash | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Delta Eighty Eight | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wirey Won | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seaside Sergeant | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mikey’s Mouse | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Grand Argument | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Legal Holiday | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.