December 1, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Indian Guide | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13A | 13 | Krewe Chief | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Accountable | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Admiral Blue | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Hierarchy | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mr Maybe | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hoboe | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7A | 6 | Cullum Road | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gauguin (GER) | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Poshsky | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fox Rules | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Indebted | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Zap Daddy | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bootlegger (FR) | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ego | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Southern Phantom | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Lion Dance | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Felix the Fox | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kentucky Wildcat | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Closeau | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pulsate | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kumar | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Midnight Curfew | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Country House | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Baffin Bay | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Electro | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Sport | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | American Ninja | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Lemon Blitz | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Ten Eyck | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | River Knight | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 7 | Bobby G | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 16 | 10 | Stronger | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Three Perfections | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saratoga Colonel | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Spring On Curlin | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 15 | 9 | Lil Commissioner | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Cookie Crisp | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Mr. Massena | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Time Expired | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Won’t Be Missed | 50.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Demoiselle S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Enliven | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Molto Bella | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Filly Joel | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Positive Spirit | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jennifer’s Dream | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Afleet Destiny | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Girl of Tosconova | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Satin Frost | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Starlite Mission | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Carrera Cat | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Gentle Annie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Dream Passage | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Way Smart | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wantagh Queen | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Spa Treatment | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Something Joyful | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Tiz a Kitten | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lulu’s Pom Pom | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Puparee | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Louisiana Lady | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Truly Courageous | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cirque | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Birthday Gift | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Go For Wand H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sower | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tigalalu | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Marley’s Freedom | 1.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Your Love | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Pacific Wind | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Come Dancing | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bonita Bianca | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Browse | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Asterisk | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Do Share | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16A | 16 | Full Salute | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Jewel Can Disco | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Francis Freud | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Aire Bueno (CHI) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Adonis Creed | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Frisky Magician | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 10 | Dr. Shane | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Toughest ‘Ombre | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Almithmaar | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | War Stroll | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Fear | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tusk | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Blessed Halo | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Axtell | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Remsen S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Maximus Mischief | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Network Effect | 1.40 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon War | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jungle Warrior | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gladiator King | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chinomado | 50.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tax | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Cigar Mile H. Presented By Nyra Bets
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mendelssohn | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Patternrecognition | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Timeline | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sunny Ridge | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Copper Town | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | True Timber | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pat On the Back | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stan the Man | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Preferred Outcome | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Foolish Ghost | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Quest for Fire | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wrong Ben | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Smokin Platinum | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Expediter | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gorelli | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I Love Jaxson | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Suas | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lem Me Tel Ya | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gehrig | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Our Last Buck | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.