November 30, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Break and Enter | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucas n’ Lori | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Skynyrd | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hungary | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moon Magic | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Classic | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Riverboat Gambler | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vaughan | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Cheerful | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Souper Scat Daddy | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Downy Boy | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Theregoesjojo | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | English Classic | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Corduroy Road | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Captain Handsome | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stolen Identity | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Krachenwagen | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Society’s Tiger | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sandretti | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bakersfield | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stay Determined | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Colleen’s Sailor | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Speightstown Time | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ratface Macdougall | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kitten’s Solution | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rexton | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nupogodi | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Budding | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tevez | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Thalias Fire | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Marsantropist | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fell From Grace | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Pearls | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Geocentric | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Image of Lucy | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rebel Lioness | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sayyestoxcelence | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Best Bard | 1.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Run to the Bank | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pugsley | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Money Talks | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bold Animaux | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Th Original Scotty | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Goldminer | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crown Prince | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cummings Road | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sniper | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pat Daddy | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Red At Last | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spanish River | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Southern Greatness | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Devoted Wildcat | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jimmies Truck | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Neil’s Diamond | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Special Forces | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Guy Caballero | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Monastrell | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Split My Pants | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Blakey | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Itstartswithadrink | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Differential | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Allied Instigator | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Hey Howie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Davka | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heydon’s Case | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Decisionsdecisions | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rock You | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Arrius | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Makemineamanhattan | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Where’s the Gold | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dot’s Vision | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | War Factory | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Giant Dreams | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Epilogue | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.