November 30, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Awesome D J |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
7 |
Quality Step |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Marden |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Higher Purpose |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Vee’s Super Star |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gran City |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
2 |
Auld Lange Syne |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Trifor Gold |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Baravelli |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cool Man Cletus |
2.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
No Mistake N Me |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Father Don |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
El Rojo |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
My Lord |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Perfect Heir |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Tiz Emily and Jill |
1.60 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Stormy Mama |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bon Heir |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lost On the Stairs |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lightnin Fast Girl |
4.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Honest Ginger |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Silver Majorette |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Dixie Do Good |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
5A |
5 |
Starr Designer |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
4 |
Knock Out Kid |
1.80 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Heningham |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mae Sai Princess |
4.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Barbsgray Lion |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
6 |
Past Perfect |
3.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
7A |
5 |
Nana’s Shoes |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Mrs. Rembrandt |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
2A |
2 |
Hazana |
3.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
7A |
6 |
Miss Gray |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
D’wildcat Sunshine |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jilted Runaway |
4.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Greasedlightning |
4.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Petipa |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ridgemont High |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
9 |
8 |
Marlee’s Magic |
6.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Menacing |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Zip Van Winkle |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hayne’s Fever |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
My Eminence |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Legend’s Hope |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kierland |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
A True Gentleman |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Painter’s Pride |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
On the Hop |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Sarah’s Treasure |
2.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rockin Ruth |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Katie’s Reward |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Splendor Gal |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Joyful Noise |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Saturday’s Rein |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Cherokee Fire |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Shane’s Jewel |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gold Man |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Home Run Maker |
1.80 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Robey’s Boy |
12.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fly E Dubai |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Eastern Bay |
5.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Stolen Love |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Two Putt |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Love’s Legend |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Awesome Jazz |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Ms. Picadilly |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Elevated Vision |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Proportionality |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ghoul’s Night Out |
1.80 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Three Hawk |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Buff’s in Love |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gray Veil |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Tri Poker |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Coqueta |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lucky Dilly |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Variance |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Myladycharlotte |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Miss Quick |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Broadway Trouper |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
American Star |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Inflight |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.