November 30, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Outback Jack | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Wildwood Dejavu | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Countach | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Anytime Anyplace | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | M C Squared | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Warrior’s Kid | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | No Richie | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | T’ Cadeau | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Roger Brown | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Posse Dreamin | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | About Our Time | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Concho | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Riv | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Will’s Pioneer | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Driven by History | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bourne in Nixa | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Concord Fast | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speightsong | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Plot Twist | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Musical Man | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crocodile Jacques | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Izzy’s Baby Boy | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Half a Bite | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cool Individual | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shae’s Day | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bold Zarb | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Indeed | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fist of Rage | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chase the Ghost | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Warriors Gem | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yabba Dabba Dude | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Knocks Big Thirst | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Caesar Point | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Smokey Rose | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Chiles Legacy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Breezing Bye | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Matapan | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Savvy Ally | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Elle’s Town | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Cimarron | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pide | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Proudmoney | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fiftyshadesofnay | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Waft | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Te Na Na | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Emery’s Dream | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Zarb’s Winnie | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Charlie de Hustle | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | D’dawson | 1.20 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Run for Three | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Production Hero | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Natalio | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fooling Jay | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Doug’s Bug | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Netela | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seeking Fast | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Haney | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pleasant Street | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Raise Em Up | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Rocket | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | French Command | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tears for Paula | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Top Ten Duchess | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Emily’s Pegasus | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queen E | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Haleys Court | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nola Three Hundred | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.