November 30, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Twirling Tiger | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Out of Patience | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pioneerof the West | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lindante | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Holland Road | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sass Machine | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Athleisure | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Curryforthree Bang | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cat Holic | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | A Dime for Me | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Kim | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Derby Royalty | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reds Sacred Appeal | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sneem (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Dimkar (FR) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Pitino | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Goldie’s Hills | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seahawk Wave | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Impeachableoffense | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Honor Guard | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Atrevida | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Pulpitinthesky | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Cinnamon Twist | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Empress of Lov | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bragging Rights | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | We Will Re Joyce | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Easter Dream | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Eskenforadrink | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ciao Luna | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Reedley | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Strike That | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Platinum Nights | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Easy Shot | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | C J My Boy | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Frozen Money | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Red Valor | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cupid’s Claws | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Encumbered | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Count Alexander | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Move Over (GB) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | North County Guy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mantracker (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Shadow Sphinx | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 4 | Extrordinary Jerry | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | My Heart Awakens | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 5 | Magic Musketier | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Major Cabbie | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 6 | Zestful | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Divine Dharma | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Imperial Creed | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vegas Strong Baby | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Proud Emma | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Staythirstymyamigo | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Time for Suzzie | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Maneuver | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Ky. Colonel | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Fritz Johansen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Buster Douglas (BRZ) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Rapid Red | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Big Train | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lauren’s Ladd | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Broken Up | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Van Cortlandt | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Comes the Dream | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Iron Alex | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.