November 30, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | McErin | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 1 | Pocket Personality | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Missle Bomb | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Four Freedoms | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | Strong Side | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wegotoldyougotsold | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Monteleone | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Forres Lily | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Giant Ending | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Three Eighty Eight | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’sgotthebeat | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Moment of Triumph | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Caoimhe | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | B Three | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Miss Marilyn | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16A | 16 | Clara Allen | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2A | 2 | Enjoyitwhilewecan | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Rare Gift | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Style and Grace | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Take Ten | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Ava Malone | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Tenacious Jewel | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Blue Jean Kitten | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Sweet Timing | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Flying the Colors | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Andi’s Kitten | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Fuji | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Stefanie On Fleek | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Tip At Tapit | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Honorable Rose | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Paynterbynumbers | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Utiki | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alisio | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blonde Moment | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Passion Flower | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coilean Bawn | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Introspection | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gracetown | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Risky Sour | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Nutzforboltz | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Singapore Trader | 1.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Phone Funky Munky | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Gosilently | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mango M | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Steelersfanforlife | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Elenzee | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ode to the Hunt | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Beach Access | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | D Emcee | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | True Gold | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Coolboy | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jemography | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hot Diggitty | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Kadens Courage | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Crack Shot | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fleet Warrior | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Romancing the Cat | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Mac’s Revolution | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bebe Banker | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | St. Paddy’s Boy | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Best Performance | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Face It | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Out of Trouble | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Harkness | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aikenetta | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Take Charge Tina | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Peaches and Spice | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Westerdale | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Barahin | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Constant Knight | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Dirty | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Pagliacci | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Discretionary Marq | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Final Frontier | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bourbon Currency | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shiraz | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Outrageous Bet | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Crocheron Kid | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Psychic Energy | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Rappel | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Morning Breez | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Moses Supposes | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Backstretch George | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Formal Start | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hopper Dropper | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carmine’s Honor | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | All Clear | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | La Cat Warrior | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Mr. Wonderful | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Merger of Banks | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Via Castagna | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Buss the Bell | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | The I Man | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.