November 29, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | El Hombre | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | From Now On | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Greeley’s Glacken | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cracker Jackson | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Roux | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Perin the Pirate | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arnaud | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | How Sweet It Is | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Flashly | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Truth Goddess | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fame Feather | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Missseventhirteen | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Funny | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Desert Image | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sacred Storm | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ms. D’s Last Storm | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A He’s an O’Prado | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heir to Dream | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Captain Tyree | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jericho | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Santa Americana | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Nine Five Four | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Deano | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Owendale | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Moon Colony | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Blockbuster | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Landofthepharaohs | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ship of the Line | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Alliterative | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | English Laughter | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Big Bobby Brown | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eye Cloud | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | El Jake O | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hunker Down | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wildcat Friendship | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dance Caller | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Piranha Tough | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Il Est Vite | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chase the Bling | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brave Benny | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ucanalwaysbebetter | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Farmavet | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Winter Sunset | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Le Moine | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Desert Rendezvous | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Bronco Sally | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Freedom Passage | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shes So Savvy | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moscow River | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Zamzam | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Complete | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Infinite Zest | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Born to Shop | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Exemplar | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Speedy Fellar | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Call the Colonel | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Private Party | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Last Bad Habit | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Point Hope | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Senator Robert | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Got Gold | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Coexistence | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Atalanta Belle | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Room to Finish | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Limari | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trick | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Sunniva | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sky Entry | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zee Ro Drop | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ruthless Child | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Artistic Quality | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sarahcain | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Mizzen Colony | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Fiesta Moon | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | North Hullen | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Youve Got a Friend | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cameron Rules | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fist Full | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shaniko’s Secret | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Our Smitty | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just Run Skiny Run | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bushido Samurai | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Whoajoey | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Catlab | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Boston Bob | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Yonadixie | 15.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.