November 29, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kingdom’s Queen | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Taking Aim | 1.40 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Acting Chipper | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Aoife | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bestinthebusiness | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Super Mama | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Grand Banks | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Copperline | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Crater Rim | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Reconsider It | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Handle With Care | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Joule | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 5 | Mrs. Orb | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Spring Drama | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | That’s Smart | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dynamite Kitten | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Scarlet’s Command | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 6 | Mickey Diamond | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hawaiian Noises | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Achilles Warrior | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Puttheglassdown | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 2 | Direct Order | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Jazzy J | 50.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Stage Left | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Takecharge Mirella | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14A | 14 | Skychief | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Ginger Mo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Letzgometz | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Calamity Kat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5A | 4 | Halstaat | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Poppy Joe Rocks | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Impazible Odds | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Cotton House | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 15 | 11 | Twelfthofneverland | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Inclunation | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ninja Dust | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bridgetothefuture | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Angelo’s Corner | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Dubrovsky | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Mid Day Image | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Dougie Fresh | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | G Zap | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hardly a Secret | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mills | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Doyouknowsomething | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carissimo | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Roman Approval | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Wisecrack | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Papa Jim | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Get Along | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grammi Dance | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Trance | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Highest Rank | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stone Breaker | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quick Snap | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Oh K Funnybone | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ben of the Bush | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mend Up | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Marble Moon | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Giant Sandy | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Malarkey | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Solitary Gem | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tayler’s the Boss | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Critique | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lolli | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stay Good | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Exceed the Goal | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Carlisle Belle | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 2 | Hay Field | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Kathryn the Wise | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Nisha | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Greatreviews | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tiznow’s Smile | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Palladian Bridge | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Playinwiththeboys | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Go Astray | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dawn the Destroyer | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Candymankando | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Felix in Fabula | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | There Goes Jose | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Regalian | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Southeast | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nolinski | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Infield Is In | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vicar’s Legend | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rogue Nation | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.