November 28, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Cross Multiply |
3.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Our American Star |
1.60 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tammany Giant |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bourbon N Rye |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
There He Goes |
4.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Finn’s Posse |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Martini Lane |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Daria’s Angel |
1.80 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Satin Sheets |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Arewehavingfunyet |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Woundwithhereyes |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Expressly |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Havana Affair |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bet U Cant Find Me |
30.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Free Coffee |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Brass Ring |
0.60 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Karabessa |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tiz Her Way |
15.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
No Limit Babe |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Family Fortune |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sister Emily |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Caralicious |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Plink Freud |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
5 |
Marquet Legacy |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Winifred J |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
3 |
Brezza |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Little Song |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
9 |
6 |
Empress Sophia |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
10 |
7 |
Two Cent Tootsie |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
5 |
Eighty Seven North |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
4 |
Dancing Slippers |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Zap Zap Zap |
1.80 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Halloween Horror |
3.50 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Extinct Charm |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Peculiar Sensation |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bitumen |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kenyan |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ro Bear |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Azzedine (FR) |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
3A |
3 |
Argonne |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Bail Out |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
A I Initiative |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Lundqvist |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Wicked Trick |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
13A |
7 |
Zealous |
2.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
11 |
5 |
Yamano Maker (JPN) |
2.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
2 |
Hero’s Welcome |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
12 |
6 |
Tough Times |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
10 |
4 |
Carom |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Love Nest |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9 |
3 |
Dance for Oro |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Gypsy Janie |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mo Flash |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lemon Crush |
3.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Nth Degree |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Karen’s Gem |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Thirsty Gal |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Dothat Dance |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Snap Decision |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Mr. Buff |
1.80 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hammerin Aamer |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Calculated Risker |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Krewe Chief |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Testosterstone |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Own Agenda |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8A |
8 |
Holding Aces |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
2A |
2 |
Big Guy Ian |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Get a Valentine |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Nobody Move |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Professor Snape |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ostrolenka |
6.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Too Fast to Pass |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Toohottoevenspeak |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
9 |
8 |
Chosen One Elijah |
30.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.