November 25, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tizway That Way | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Kendra | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ipray | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Leia | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Treat | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lea’s Reward | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fellina | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Perfectly Majestic | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blackout (FR) | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maestro Dearte | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sawyer’s Hill | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Any Questions | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eckersley | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dreams of Valor | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Native Diver S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Roman Rosso (ARG) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Kershaw | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Gift Box | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 1 | Battle of Midway | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Dabster | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Isotherm | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Knight’s Cross | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Fortnite Dance | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | You Must Chill | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carbon Zero | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gleyber | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Salah | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Weekly Call | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Surprise Fashion | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Indy Jones | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lovely Linda | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Lucky Student | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Devil’s Beauty | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Resky Business | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sought More Pep | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kristie’s Heart | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Swallows Inn Gal | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Honor Maker | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dressed in Prada | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Cecil B. Demille S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Irish Heatwave | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Flying Scotsman | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vantastic | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Takeo Squared | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rijeka (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sayin Grace | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Slewgoodtobetrue | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bizwhacks | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Claudelle | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Qahira | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Tune | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | To the Morning | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Posit | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Suprema | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fight Night | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tizwellwithmysoul | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Elwood J | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Jet Set Ruler | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Six Point Rack | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | The Hunted | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Carville | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Shaymin | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Acclimate | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Push Through | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Perfection | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Duke of Fallbrook | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Spanish Bay | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Thefourfortyfourth | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sought Bai | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Astonishing Tweet | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Iron Curtain | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Littlebitamedal | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fleetwood | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Moon Juice | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jonas | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mikeys Glory | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Malachim | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.