November 25, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Union Patriot | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Girlie’s Dream | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Tequila Sunday | 0.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Unparalleled | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Causin’ Trouble | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Needs No Ice | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | First Dawn | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Saratoga Sass | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mohican | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Tale of Mist | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Candy Zip | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Special Story | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Snake Oil Charlie | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | O Shea Can U See | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Crea’s Bklyn Law | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Takeoff | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shortlist | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wild Colonial Boy | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magnetron | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Union Wise | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Super Fleet | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Notebook S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kosciuszko | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thorny Tale | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | La Fuerza | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bustin Hoffman | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bustin to Be Loved | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Analyzethisandthat | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Zap Daddy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lemonist | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Kulin Rock | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Pretentious | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Never Nevermore | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bootlegger (FR) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Nutzforboltz | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ego | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Single Gem | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Rappel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 6 | Shadow Rider | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | Big Muddy | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 5 | Dark N Cloudy | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Herecomesyourman | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | La Maquina Gris | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 4 | Mad Munnys | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mighty Zealous | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Deep Sea | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Oneballnostrikes | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rockford | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scarf It Down | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Borsa Vento | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Truly a Moon Shot | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Happy Farm | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Brimstone | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Tepin S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Flying the Colors | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | On the Town | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Stormy D | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Early Time (FR) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Aunt Hattie (IRE) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Love and Love | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Fierce Scarlett | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Timing | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Suba Lou | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 2 | South of France | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 13 | 4 | Hollywood Glory | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 3 | Guacamole | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 14 | 5 | Slieve Mish | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | No More Fast Women | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Autumn Days S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Compelled | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Misericordia (GB) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Broadway Run | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Epping Forest | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Fire Key | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Always Thinking | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tap Tap Taparoo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 4 | Sounds Delicious | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | Fear No Evil | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 7 | Yorkiepoo Princess | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 15 | 8 | Friend of Liberty | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Jc’s Shooting Star | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bloody Point | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Lezendary | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 6 | Jean Elizabeth | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Emmy Knows | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Too Many Tales | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Bel Cuore | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Call It a Truce | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Traci’s Girl | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Miss Flambe | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dirty Bird | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Mimic | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Weekend Forecast | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Minit Maus | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | She’s a Lumberjane | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.