November 24, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pearl Heist | 1.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Souper Hot | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ojiisan | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Krachenwagen | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tallulah Darling | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Almost Perfect | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Full Extreme | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sandy Bay | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sharp Brew | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Argentium | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Timberlea | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trump’s Kitten | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Countryside Drive | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mary of Scotts | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flashy Gizmo | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dulcibelle (GER) | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Candy Mountain | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | H Is Just a Number | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mislight | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | J M R Bold Vision | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Durdle Door | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hope Garden | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mercury Rising | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Calais Cove | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Georgia Sweets | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Nina | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Petite Amie | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | House On the Hill | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bel Tempo | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dontdropurcrop | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Fleck | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | High Seas Romance | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Light It Up | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Gabby’s Ballerina | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nadeleine | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Auntie Katherine | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Conquest Rapiduno | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Glib Marylin | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beaufils | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Valid N Gold | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Show Me the Prize | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frost Delay | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awesomeendswithme | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Boyne River | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Never Sober | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Brynlie | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Carmen Is My Name | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sea Sparkle | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vesperanza | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Muskoka Suzie | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Simply Mysterious | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dancing Horizon | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Court Surprise | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Night Watchman | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Hines | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Spirit of Caledon | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Family Kitten | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Courtly Manner | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ellas My Love | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seize the Bay | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Bourbon Extension | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Selling Out | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Boyhood Dream | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Kennedy Road S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Yorkton | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Holding Gold | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hemp Hemp Hurray | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vici | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ikerrin Road (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Singandcryindubai | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Call Me Wally | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Brass Compass | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boreal Spirit | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Roxy’s Vision | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Marten Lake | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tale of the Nile | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Slip Kid | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Forest Brother | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Riker | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Bet On Mike | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Colton’s Corner | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Run Away | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Forester’s Forum | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Worbothor | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Killag Katie | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Modus Operandi | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rince Tapaigh | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mystic Nile | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cape Mist | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Royal | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Via Ann | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sothatsthewayitis | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Cat’s Whisper | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Town Cruise | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Harper P M | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gold Sting | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fast Negotiations | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Nevaeh’s Dream | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fritzie’s Boy | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sent From Heaven | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Desolator | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Alacritous | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fullthrottle Kid | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bay of Rum | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pool Playa | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Legal Gump | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.