November 23, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dazzling Okie | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Visual Effect | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rare Eagle | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rare Candy | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Matador | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Talk Less | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hiram | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Home It Tiz | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Good Man | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smart Step | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Real Factor | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Diviner | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tom Hagen | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Setubal | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Queen Nekia | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stakes On a Plane | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rockin Ruth | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mixways | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jokers Tothe Right | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eye of the Wildcat | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Dance Queen | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Aiden’s Rag Doll | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Doinwhatshelikes | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Neyami | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Dream of Lois | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tiger Eyes | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Value Added | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bring Me Answers | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Include Gold | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dat Dares Gold | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Eyerish Inspired | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5A | 5 | Samadi Blue | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | By the Bay | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Southern Rules | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wall | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10A | 9 | Top Hat Ragtop | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Bull | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Liar | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shaka Style | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | America’s Prince | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bro Your Killingme | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Conquest Falcon | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Runabout | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quest of Glory | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Publishanditerate | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Edify | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stay On Point | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | French’s Quest | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Native Flora | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Turing Machine | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Taking Aim | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | War of the States | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Weekend Delight | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spring Run | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lemon Drop Kitty | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rain On The Dune (GB) | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Malibu Surprise | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stated | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Overheated | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sing Praises | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | The Great Provider | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Slide by You | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Stone Bandit | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Saratoga Wildcat | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Key Mono | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Papacho | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Martywiththeparty | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Scout’s Honor | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Far From Awesome | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Umightbeanempress | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Allison K | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Holly’s Lady | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Fashion Faux Pas | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Rockstar Girl | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | End Result | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Orbiting the Moon | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Dora Maar | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Miss Philly Dilly | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Awesome Starlet | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Cornetta’s Choice | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Angry Ocean | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Weekend Flyer | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Chaussette Blanche | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Warm | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.