Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 23, 2018

November 23, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dazzling Okie 1.60 1.8 3-1
2 2 Visual Effect 4.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Rare Eagle 3.50 4 7-1
4 4 Rare Candy 4.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Matador 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Talk Less 20.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Hiram 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Home It Tiz 2.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 My Good Man 3.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Smart Step 1.80 3.1 6-1
3 3 Real Factor 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Diviner 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Tom Hagen 15.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Setubal 1.80 2.3 4-1
1 1 Queen Nekia 2.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Stakes On a Plane 3.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Rockin Ruth 12.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Mixways 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Jokers Tothe Right 15.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Eye of the Wildcat 20.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Dance Queen 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Aiden’s Rag Doll 4.50 2.9 6-1
1 1 Doinwhatshelikes 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Neyami 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 I Dream of Lois 8.00 4.5 8-1
10 10 Tiger Eyes 6.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Value Added 20.00 6 11-1
6 6 Bring Me Answers 12.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Include Gold 15.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Dat Dares Gold 20.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Eyerish Inspired 30.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5A 5 Samadi Blue 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 By the Bay 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Southern Rules 3.00 4 8-1
2 2 Wall 8.00 4.5 8-1
10A 9 Top Hat Ragtop 3.50 4.7 9-1
1 1 Lucky Bull 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Liar 6.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Shaka Style 15.00 5.3 10-1
9 8 America’s Prince 4.50 5.5 10-1
8 7 Bro Your Killingme 15.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Conquest Falcon 2.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Runabout 2.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Quest of Glory 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Publishanditerate 3.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Edify 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Stay On Point 15.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 French’s Quest 10.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Native Flora 20.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Turing Machine 2.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Taking Aim 4.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 War of the States 10.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Weekend Delight 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Spring Run 10.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Lemon Drop Kitty 8.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Rain On The Dune (GB) 15.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Malibu Surprise 6.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Stated 12.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Overheated 10.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sing Praises 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 The Great Provider 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Slide by You 50.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Stone Bandit 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 4 Saratoga Wildcat 2.00 3.2 6-1
3 2 Key Mono 5.00 3.6 7-1
4 3 Papacho 20.00 4.6 9-1
9 7 Martywiththeparty 8.00 4.7 9-1
8 6 Scout’s Honor 10.00 5.2 10-1
7 5 Far From Awesome 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Umightbeanempress 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Allison K 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Holly’s Lady 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Fashion Faux Pas 6.00 2.8 5-1
8 6 Rockstar Girl 6.00 4 8-1
6 4 End Result 10.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Orbiting the Moon 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 5 Dora Maar 10.00 5.2 10-1
14 12 Miss Philly Dilly 3.00 5.7 11-1
4 3 Awesome Starlet 20.00 6.7 13-1
11 9 Cornetta’s Choice 10.00 7 13-1
13 11 Angry Ocean 6.00 7.1 13-1
9 7 Weekend Flyer 15.00 7.9 15-1
10 8 Chaussette Blanche 20.00 8.9 17-1
12 10 Warm 20.00 9.7 18-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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