Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 23, 2018

November 23, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Belinda 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Liz’s Legend 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Perfectly Precious 2.50 2.2 4-1
5 4 Keeping Time 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 Causei’mwonderful 3.00 4 8-1
4 3 Puckerupandkissme 15.00 4.2 8-1
10 8 Sweet Rosebud 4.50 4.7 9-1
2 2 Lightning Jordynn 30.00 5.3 10-1
7 6 Inalyze 20.00 5.6 11-1
9 7 Tenacious Faith 30.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cats Beauty 2.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Off Cycle 2.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Ide Stang You 3.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Avery Lynn 3.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 My Ruston 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Tizmyday 30.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Camrynsbigtimebaby 20.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Favorite Promise 30.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Sweet and Spicy 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Untuttable Speed 3.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Bandit’s Deelite 3.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Jazz Driver 4.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Custom for Carlita 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Kozy’s Prayer 10.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Hey Zarby 15.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Blue Suede Ransom 8.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 A Song for Sarah 10.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Bobbies Reason 12.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Island Blue 30.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Etbauer’s Ide 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Finishlikeapro 3.50 3.6 7-1
9 9 Valiant City 2.50 4.4 8-1
7 7 Lip Service 4.50 4.8 9-1
2 2 Weknewuweretrouble 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Crider Cash 8.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Tap That Word 5.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Good Gosh Gene 30.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Whistling Ranger 8.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Savannah Dandy 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Kingston Ruler 4.00 3.2 6-1
7 6 Jill’s Smooth Air 1.60 3.4 6-1
6 5 Max Our Man 3.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Truly the One 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Blake’s Father 10.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Thib’s Hope 12.00 5.4 10-1
10 9 Solid Red 8.00 5.7 11-1
8 7 Geaux Easy 15.00 7.1 13-1
9 8 Saint Dansant 30.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Quality Street 3.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Sattersfield 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Presli’s Argument 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Five Star Nap 8.00 3 6-1
5 4 Zyanara 2.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Celtic Lass 15.00 3.8 7-1
9 6 Crickadee 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 J J Queen 10.00 4.1 8-1
7 5 Sister Ashlee 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Anita Bonita 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Blue Ribbon Girl 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Fasten 3.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Suckerforagrey 8.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Angel d’Oro 2.50 4.7 9-1
7 7 Silver’s Swan Song 5.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 That’s a Song 4.50 4.9 9-1
3 3 She’s a Queen 10.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Jewels of Sorce 20.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Dixie Doris 20.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Sea Strollin 20.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Friendly and Kind 10.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Its a Journey 2.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Another Level 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Mariah’s Galaxy 3.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Native Princess 10.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Liam’s World 12.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 She’sagraciouslady 4.00 5 10-1
7 7 Kiss That Dude 8.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Shea’s Lil Shug 10.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Keep the Commish 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Midnight Las Vegas 3.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Jersey Bullet 4.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Sunday’s Mistake 4.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Bentonville 6.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Sholtz 10.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 On a Heater 20.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Uncle Herbie 8.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Insubordination 8.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Seeyainthetestbarn 10.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Berko 12.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Silk Shirt Johnnie 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 You Could Be Mine 3.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Reign of Faith 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Angel Cat 2.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Dorkas 5.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Bulletsandbourbon 20.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Labelhermypal 4.50 4.3 8-1
10 8 Dr. Frankie Kaye 4.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 One King’s Rose 20.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Lil China 10.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Cashmere Bliss 20.00 6.4 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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