November 23, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Belinda | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Liz’s Legend | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Perfectly Precious | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Keeping Time | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Causei’mwonderful | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Puckerupandkissme | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Sweet Rosebud | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lightning Jordynn | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Inalyze | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Tenacious Faith | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cats Beauty | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Off Cycle | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ide Stang You | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Avery Lynn | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Ruston | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tizmyday | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Camrynsbigtimebaby | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Favorite Promise | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Sweet and Spicy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Untuttable Speed | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bandit’s Deelite | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jazz Driver | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Custom for Carlita | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kozy’s Prayer | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hey Zarby | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Suede Ransom | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | A Song for Sarah | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bobbies Reason | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Island Blue | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Etbauer’s Ide | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Finishlikeapro | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Valiant City | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lip Service | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Weknewuweretrouble | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crider Cash | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tap That Word | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Good Gosh Gene | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whistling Ranger | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Savannah Dandy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Kingston Ruler | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jill’s Smooth Air | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Max Our Man | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Truly the One | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blake’s Father | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thib’s Hope | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Solid Red | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Geaux Easy | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Saint Dansant | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Quality Street | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Sattersfield | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Presli’s Argument | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Five Star Nap | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Zyanara | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Celtic Lass | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Crickadee | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | J J Queen | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Sister Ashlee | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Anita Bonita | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Blue Ribbon Girl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Fasten | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Suckerforagrey | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Angel d’Oro | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Silver’s Swan Song | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | That’s a Song | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She’s a Queen | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jewels of Sorce | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dixie Doris | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sea Strollin | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Friendly and Kind | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Its a Journey | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Another Level | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mariah’s Galaxy | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Native Princess | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Liam’s World | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She’sagraciouslady | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kiss That Dude | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shea’s Lil Shug | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Keep the Commish | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Las Vegas | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jersey Bullet | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sunday’s Mistake | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bentonville | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sholtz | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | On a Heater | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Uncle Herbie | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Insubordination | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Seeyainthetestbarn | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Berko | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Silk Shirt Johnnie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | You Could Be Mine | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Reign of Faith | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Angel Cat | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dorkas | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bulletsandbourbon | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Labelhermypal | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Dr. Frankie Kaye | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One King’s Rose | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lil China | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cashmere Bliss | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.