Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 23, 2018

November 23, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 London Hotel 1.40 2.7 5-1
2 2 Second Fiddle 1.80 2.9 6-1
5 5 Whata Flirt 3.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Grey Tsunami 15.00 4 8-1
6 6 Venice 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Princess Nicole 20.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hitters Park 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Eddie Haskell 3.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Distinctive B 2.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Little Juanito 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Regal Born 12.00 4.5 9-1
8 7 Eric the Trojan 4.00 4.6 9-1
7 6 Air Vice Marshal 4.50 4.7 9-1
5 5 Street Vision 20.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 South Boot Shirley 2.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 I’m Sassy 2.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Heaven Squared 5.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Perfect Portrait 3.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Awesome Amanda 4.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Brite Rivers 20.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Super Classic 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Molaf 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 Blitzkrieg 3.00 3.4 7-1
5 4 Aussie Fox 3.50 3.5 7-1
8 7 Mo Bob (IRE) 2.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Forecheck 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 3 Getaloadofthis 12.00 5 10-1
9 8 Chieftain’s Lad 8.00 6.6 12-1
7 6 Brioso 20.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Baby Ice 3.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 C. C. Zipp 2.50 2.9 6-1
6 6 Duranga 3.00 4 7-1
2 2 Li’l Grazen 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Creative Spark 20.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Christy Jackson 6.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Gemini Journey 3.50 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Hollywood Turf Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Krewe Chief 0.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Bigger Picture 2.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Beach View 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Ashleyluvssugar 4.50 4 8-1
8 7 Chicago Style 3.00 4.3 8-1
7 6 Ya Gotta Wanna 4.00 4.6 9-1
4 3 Can’thelpbelieving (IRE) 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 5 Marckie’s Water 12.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 She’s a Dime 2.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Cassie Belle 2.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Tip Top Gal 12.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Imminent 3.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Meritocracy 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Spicy Curry 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Hot On the Trail 12.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Coldwater 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Sutro 2.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 She Be Striking (GB) 3.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Arctic Roll (GB) 8.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Decorating 4.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 The Nine O 15.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Screenshot 6.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Smart Win 20.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Kaydetre 8.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 More Smores 20.00 6.1 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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