November 23, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
London Hotel |
1.40 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Second Fiddle |
1.80 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Whata Flirt |
3.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Grey Tsunami |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Venice |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Princess Nicole |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Hitters Park |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Eddie Haskell |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Distinctive B |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Little Juanito |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Regal Born |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Eric the Trojan |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Air Vice Marshal |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Street Vision |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
South Boot Shirley |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
I’m Sassy |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Heaven Squared |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Perfect Portrait |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Awesome Amanda |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Brite Rivers |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Super Classic |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Molaf |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Blitzkrieg |
3.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Aussie Fox |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Mo Bob (IRE) |
2.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Forecheck |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
3 |
Getaloadofthis |
12.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
9 |
8 |
Chieftain’s Lad |
8.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
7 |
6 |
Brioso |
20.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Baby Ice |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
C. C. Zipp |
2.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Duranga |
3.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Li’l Grazen |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Creative Spark |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Christy Jackson |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gemini Journey |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Hollywood Turf Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Krewe Chief |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Bigger Picture |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Beach View |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Ashleyluvssugar |
4.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
7 |
Chicago Style |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Ya Gotta Wanna |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
3 |
Can’thelpbelieving (IRE) |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
5 |
Marckie’s Water |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
She’s a Dime |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cassie Belle |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tip Top Gal |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Imminent |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Meritocracy |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Spicy Curry |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hot On the Trail |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Coldwater |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Sutro |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
She Be Striking (GB) |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Arctic Roll (GB) |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Decorating |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
The Nine O |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Screenshot |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Smart Win |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Kaydetre |
8.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
More Smores |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.