November 23, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Local Counsel | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Legion Storm | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Apello | 1.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Killala Bay | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bad Guy | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Stetson Gold | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Hit a Provisional | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Enthusiastic Gal | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Hera | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Theaterintheround | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Cleo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14A | 14 | Hollywood Cat | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bella’s Game | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Salt Pond | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Esther the Queen | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Barrel of Destiny | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7A | 2 | Samara | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 16 | 5 | Our Girl Abby | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Courageous Queen | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 15 | 4 | Twofer | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 3 | Blissful Breeze | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shock Therapy | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bettor Bank On It | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saratoga Style | 1.20 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiger Man | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Glominator | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | B B Molly | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Semper Paratus | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kasbach | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Dig Deeper | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Fiamma d’Oro | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tapin Through Life | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Appreciate | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Goldmakesmesmile | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 2 | Aspen Summer | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Morelikelythannot | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 5 | Pecan Pattie | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Moviemaker | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Beau Belle | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 7 | Abeja Negra | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 6 | Sweet Avery | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Impazible Creek | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3A | 3 | Overbook | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Vale | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blushing Justine | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11A | 10 | She’sakittykat | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Magari | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Astrology Hill | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Romantic Babe | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rapid Route | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Third Card Down | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sophie Germain | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bridaled Temper | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 1 | Come on City (GER) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6B | 6 | Pass It On | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Fast Track Kathern | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Too Cool to Dance | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Fairy Link | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Sting | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Kreesie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Goodbye Brockley | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Silver Shaker | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 4 | Held Accountable | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10A | 3 | Pivotal Connection (GB) | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Aunt Babe | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 14B | 5 | Asticou Trail | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Gio Ponti S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mr Ritz (GB) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Zap Daddy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Medal of Honour (GB) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Rose’s Vision | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Breaking the Rules | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Prioritize | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Therapist | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 3 | Life’s a Parlay | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Roaming Union | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Bal Harbour | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Key Cents S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Saloon Girl | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Elegant Zip | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sassy Agnes | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kept True | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Surge of Pride | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Take Me to Hardoon | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Collegeville Girl | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Maiden Beauty | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Espresso Shot | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sadie Lady | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wait a Minute | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | She’s So Shea D | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | My Best Friend | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Comely S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Blamed | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Split Time | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Remedy | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alberobello | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hey Niki | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | War Cabinet | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Indy Union | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stronger Than Ever | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Forever Together S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bellavais | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | La Moneda | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Penjade (FR) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Conquest Hardcandy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Special Event | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Lift Up | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Matty’s Magnum | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Lady Joan | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 4 | Sexy Reasons (ARG) | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dolce Lili | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Bombshell | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ready to Confess | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 5 | Saida | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.