Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 23, 2018

November 23, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Local Counsel 1.80 2.6 5-1
3 3 Legion Storm 3.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Apello 1.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Killala Bay 10.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Bad Guy 8.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Stetson Gold 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Hit a Provisional 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Enthusiastic Gal 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Hera 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Theaterintheround 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Cleo 15.00 SCRATCH
14A 14 Hollywood Cat 2.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Bella’s Game 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Salt Pond 4.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Esther the Queen 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Barrel of Destiny 20.00 SCRATCH
7A 2 Samara 2.50 2.9 6-1
16 5 Our Girl Abby 2.00 2.9 6-1
3 1 Courageous Queen 6.00 3.2 6-1
15 4 Twofer 3.00 3.6 7-1
9 3 Blissful Breeze 20.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Shock Therapy 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Bettor Bank On It 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Saratoga Style 1.20 3.7 7-1
3 3 Tiger Man 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 The Glominator 6.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 B B Molly 15.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Semper Paratus 8.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kasbach 4.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Dig Deeper 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Fiamma d’Oro 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Tapin Through Life 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Appreciate 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Goldmakesmesmile 30.00 SCRATCH
5 2 Aspen Summer 2.50 2.8 5-1
6 3 Morelikelythannot 3.00 3.4 6-1
11 5 Pecan Pattie 3.00 4.1 8-1
4 1 Moviemaker 12.00 4.3 8-1
9 4 Beau Belle 5.00 4.7 9-1
13 7 Abeja Negra 20.00 4.9 9-1
12 6 Sweet Avery 8.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Impazible Creek 8.00 SCRATCH
3A 3 Overbook 2.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Golden Vale 4.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Blushing Justine 12.00 4.6 9-1
11A 10 She’sakittykat 2.50 5.1 10-1
7 6 Magari 6.00 5.4 10-1
9 8 Astrology Hill 4.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Romantic Babe 10.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Rapid Route 12.00 6.5 12-1
8 7 Third Card Down 15.00 6.9 13-1
10 9 Sophie Germain 20.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bridaled Temper 8.00 SCRATCH
1A 1 Come on City (GER) 8.00 SCRATCH
6B 6 Pass It On 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Fast Track Kathern 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Too Cool to Dance 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Fairy Link 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Sweet Sting 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Kreesie 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Goodbye Brockley 4.00 SCRATCH
3 1 Silver Shaker 4.50 2.4 5-1
13 4 Held Accountable 2.00 3.1 6-1
10A 3 Pivotal Connection (GB) 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 2 Aunt Babe 10.00 3.6 7-1
14B 5 Asticou Trail 15.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Gio Ponti S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Mr Ritz (GB) 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Zap Daddy 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Medal of Honour (GB) 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Rose’s Vision 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Breaking the Rules 1.60 SCRATCH
1 1 Prioritize 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Therapist 3.00 SCRATCH
10 3 Life’s a Parlay 1.40 1.9 4-1
4 1 Roaming Union 4.00 2.8 5-1
5 2 Bal Harbour 5.00 3.1 6-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Key Cents S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Saloon Girl 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Elegant Zip 4.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Sassy Agnes 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Kept True 6.00 4.2 8-1
9 8 Surge of Pride 3.50 4.7 9-1
2 2 Take Me to Hardoon 15.00 6 11-1
11 10 Collegeville Girl 8.00 6.2 12-1
10 9 Maiden Beauty 10.00 6.2 12-1
7 6 Espresso Shot 12.00 6.4 12-1
5 4 Sadie Lady 20.00 6.7 13-1
8 7 Wait a Minute 30.00 7.6 14-1
12 11 She’s So Shea D 12.00 8.7 16-1
13 12 My Best Friend 30.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Comely S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Blamed 2.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Split Time 5.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Remedy 3.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Alberobello 4.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Hey Niki 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 War Cabinet 10.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Indy Union 6.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Stronger Than Ever 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Forever Together S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bellavais 4.50 SCRATCH
3 3 La Moneda 2.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Penjade (FR) 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Conquest Hardcandy 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Special Event 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Lift Up 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Matty’s Magnum 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Lady Joan 12.00 SCRATCH
11 4 Sexy Reasons (ARG) 8.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Dolce Lili 5.00 2.5 5-1
8 3 Bombshell 15.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Ready to Confess 20.00 4 8-1
13 5 Saida 15.00 4.3 8-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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