November 22, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shane Zain | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | El Huerfano | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Very Very Stella | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little Scotty | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kristi’s Copilot | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ria Munk | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Storming Lady | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bashful | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Magical Gray | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Strengthinnumbers | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Whoa Nessie | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Smiling Annie | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Madaket Sunset | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rancor | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | R B Eye | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jonathantoquick | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lagoon Macaroon | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Polo | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anvil Rock | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nations Hope | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Eagle | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Oscar Dominguez (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unapologetic | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Morse Code | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | High Promise | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Starting Bloc | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Accountability | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Arms Runner | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Whoop Whoop (NZ) | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Spirit Mission | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Secret Touch | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Original Intent | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Jersey’s Heat | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Typhoon Harry | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rhettbutler | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Topgallant | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Midnight Soot | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Red Carpet H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Victress | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Pantsonfire (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Vexatious | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | The Tulip (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | India Mantuana | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Escape Clause | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Siberian Iris (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lucy De | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | So Hi Society (IRE) | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Amuse | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oozle | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sheza Chattykat | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Danuska’s My Girl | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Conquest Flatterme | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Ninja | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kindred | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Lea’s Reward | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Oleksandra (AUS) | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amandine (GB) | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tell Me More | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Poetic | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | A Little Bit Me | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Katherine | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Miss Boom Boom | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tyfosha | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lynne’s Legacy | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Drift Away | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wind Tartare (FR) | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.