Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 22, 2018

November 22, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Shane Zain 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 El Huerfano 1.60 2.2 4-1
1 1 Very Very Stella 3.50 2.9 6-1
4 4 Little Scotty 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Kristi’s Copilot 4.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ria Munk 12.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Storming Lady 2.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Bashful 5.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Magical Gray 4.50 3.6 7-1
9 8 Strengthinnumbers 3.50 4.2 8-1
4 3 Whoa Nessie 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 5 Smiling Annie 10.00 5.7 11-1
8 7 Madaket Sunset 8.00 5.9 11-1
7 6 Rancor 10.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 R B Eye 2.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Jonathantoquick 4.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Lagoon Macaroon 2.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Irish Polo 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Anvil Rock 4.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Nations Hope 10.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Majestic Eagle 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 Oscar Dominguez (IRE) 5.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Unapologetic 4.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Morse Code 6.00 4 8-1
6 6 High Promise 5.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Starting Bloc 6.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Accountability 8.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Arms Runner 8.00 7 13-1
8 8 Whoop Whoop (NZ) 12.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Spirit Mission 6.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Secret Touch 5.00 3.2 6-1
5 4 Original Intent 3.00 3.2 6-1
2 1 Jersey’s Heat 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Typhoon Harry 3.50 4 8-1
3 2 Rhettbutler 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 6 Topgallant 5.00 4.6 9-1
8 7 Midnight Soot 8.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Red Carpet H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Victress 20.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Pantsonfire (IRE) 5.00 2.6 5-1
3 2 Vexatious 3.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 The Tulip (IRE) 4.00 2.9 5-1
5 4 India Mantuana 6.00 4.6 9-1
9 8 Escape Clause 5.00 5.2 10-1
6 5 Siberian Iris (IRE) 6.00 5.4 10-1
7 6 Lucy De 6.00 6.2 12-1
8 7 So Hi Society (IRE) 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Amuse 2.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Oozle 2.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Sheza Chattykat 3.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Danuska’s My Girl 12.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Conquest Flatterme 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Lady Ninja 4.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Kindred 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Lea’s Reward 0.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Oleksandra (AUS) 3.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Amandine (GB) 6.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Tell Me More 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Poetic 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 A Little Bit Me 8.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Katherine 8.00 6.2 12-1
12 11 Miss Boom Boom 6.00 6.6 13-1
8 8 Tyfosha 8.00 7 13-1
6 6 Lynne’s Legacy 15.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Drift Away 20.00 8.8 17-1
10 10 Wind Tartare (FR) 20.00 9.3 18-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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