November 22, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mats Checkride | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Galadriel’s Light | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lem Me Have It | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Alana | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fika | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gattino Marrone | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bella Via Mi Amor | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Aly’s All Out | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Elizabeth Nicole | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Orchid Party | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mercurian | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Shanghai Glory | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Eight Minute Ellie | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Letzgometz | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Capt. Courageous | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Awesome Adversary | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Jet for Andy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Exchange Fever | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Grin | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Bobby Man | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 9 | Beach Front | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bydawnsearlylight | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ticked All Daboxes | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Worth a Shot | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 16 | 11 | Iron Fork | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Craigville Beach | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Appointment | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 15 | 10 | Seed Money | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | No More Miracles | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Eddie Boy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tom’s Music | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Fox Red | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Mesa | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hot Sriracha | 1.40 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Party On Prospect | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Somebody | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Blue Skies Forever | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Flat Out Jayvien | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | One More Tom | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dark Ops | 1.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blame the Thief | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Three to Thirteen | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Proletariat | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Take It to Scale | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hokulea | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wisely | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Ding Dong Ditch | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Letterman | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Quality Choice | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Indurate | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | A I Initiative | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Wicked Trick | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mysterio | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Fearless Foe | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Looking At U Kid | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Novus | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wild William | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 16 | 6 | Metaphorical | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Support Our Cause | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Call the Cat | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bob in Our Midst | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Central Park S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wallace | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Order and Law | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Empire of War | 1.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Market Bubble | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Five Star General | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Doups Point | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Good Good | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Fall Highweight H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lewisfield | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mesotherm | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Command Post | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 2 | Runaway Lute | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Celtic Chaos | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Heartwood | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Always Sunshine | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Win With Pride | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Life in Shambles | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Winter Memories S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bellerue | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Capla Temptress (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Kreesie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Queen of Connaught (GB) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 8 | Matty’s Magnum | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Competitionofideas | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Significant Form | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Andina Del Sur | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Got Stormy | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Striking | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Romantic Moment | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Semper Sententiae | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.