November 20, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Amphibian | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mr. Priority | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | V Cross Gripper | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Halfourretirement | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Colfax | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | I’ll Raise You | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Brutalize | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Play’em Or Fold’em | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Friend of Dubai | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Classic Heath | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Heart Warrior | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Caeus in Pasadena | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Crown and Seven | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Runaway Romance | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sizzle Factor | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Victory Seeker | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Theboyzgalaxy | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Pepper Ann | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | And She Scores | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | A P’s Winner | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Jill’s Smooth Air | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Taken Back | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Strollin Spree | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Cane | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smooth Current | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Omega | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tale of the Prince | 5.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Walter John | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Dad Louie | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | He’s an Honest Man | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Our Bermuda | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Azaruk | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Successful Shot | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | A Place Remembered | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Incredible Warrior | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Let’s Go Boss | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Allthewaywithtaye | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brylee’s Deelite | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Primetime Tiz | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Oklahoma Lizzie | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flirtation Device | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Yankee Express | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Windys Roadway | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Girl Thirsty | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Velleity | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Delightful Soul | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crissy Tenpins | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Last Destiny | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kelleri | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | U Thought U Got Me | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Junes’s Choice | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Safe Keeping | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Landonese | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Chaosmos | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Navy Typist | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Golden Tale | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Richter | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flashy Image | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cossinade Prince | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | King Zippy | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Boss Jack | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flatteroni | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oath of Office | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sir Wedgeanola | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Howe Amazing | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Five Small | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Rooster Bullet | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | I Rate First | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz America | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Our Wild Dancer | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Expectations | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Darylslittleengine | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stick | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Buxton Boy | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beta Capo Song | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lukes Bad Boy | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Cuco Trejo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Greeley’s Dealer | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cap Rock Miner | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yeowzer | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Baires Boy | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Left Coast Dreams | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | One King Cat | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | B Brazin | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ide Be Doc Adams | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Parade | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dujac | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 11 | It’s Mike’s Turn | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 6 | Myblendofwhisky | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Future Ruler | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | D’money Honey | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bayou Bode | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | A Song for Arch | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tensas Tough | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dewey’s Bull | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rebel Gentleman | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Wise Cat | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Q’ Mark | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Caesar Point | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Little Wise Guy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Speedactus | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Uptown Bling | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’m d’Cat | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thunder Box | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Boston Flash | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Hero Pappy | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Worldly Cry | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just a Breather | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | How About a Date | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.