Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, November 20, 2018

November 20, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Amphibian 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Mr. Priority 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 V Cross Gripper 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Halfourretirement 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 4 Colfax 1.60 3.3 6-1
4 3 I’ll Raise You 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 Brutalize 5.00 4 7-1
1 1 Play’em Or Fold’em 15.00 4.7 9-1
7 6 Friend of Dubai 12.00 5.8 11-1
9 8 Classic Heath 10.00 6.3 12-1
8 7 Heart Warrior 20.00 7.1 13-1
10 9 Caeus in Pasadena 20.00 7.7 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Crown and Seven 1.80 2.4 5-1
6 6 Runaway Romance 3.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Sizzle Factor 5.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Victory Seeker 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Theboyzgalaxy 12.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 My Pepper Ann 4.00 5 9-1
4 4 And She Scores 10.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 A P’s Winner 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Jill’s Smooth Air 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Taken Back 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Strollin Spree 5.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Big Cane 4.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Smooth Current 8.00 5 9-1
2 2 Grand Omega 12.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Tale of the Prince 5.00 5.6 10-1
4 4 Walter John 15.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 My Dad Louie 12.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 He’s an Honest Man 15.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 Our Bermuda 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Azaruk 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Successful Shot 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 A Place Remembered 1.80 2.5 5-1
4 4 Incredible Warrior 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Let’s Go Boss 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Allthewaywithtaye 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Brylee’s Deelite 12.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Primetime Tiz 8.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Oklahoma Lizzie 12.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Flirtation Device 15.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Yankee Express 12.00 8 15-1
7 7 Windys Roadway 15.00 8.2 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Girl Thirsty 2.50 2.7 5-1
8 8 Velleity 1.60 3.9 7-1
5 5 Delightful Soul 5.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Crissy Tenpins 15.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Last Destiny 6.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Kelleri 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 U Thought U Got Me 20.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Junes’s Choice 10.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Safe Keeping 30.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Landonese 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Chaosmos 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Navy Typist 3.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 My Golden Tale 2.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Sweet Richter 8.00 4 7-1
4 4 Flashy Image 10.00 5 9-1
7 7 Cossinade Prince 8.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 King Zippy 3.50 5.6 11-1
3 3 Mr. Boss Jack 12.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Flatteroni 15.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Oath of Office 30.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Sir Wedgeanola 15.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Howe Amazing 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Five Small 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Rooster Bullet 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 I Rate First 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Tiz America 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 8 Our Wild Dancer 3.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 My Expectations 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 7 Darylslittleengine 6.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Stick 20.00 5.4 10-1
10 9 Buxton Boy 4.50 5.8 11-1
5 5 Beta Capo Song 15.00 5.9 11-1
7 6 Lukes Bad Boy 8.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Cuco Trejo 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Greeley’s Dealer 3.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Cap Rock Miner 4.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Yeowzer 4.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Baires Boy 2.50 5 9-1
3 3 Left Coast Dreams 15.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 One King Cat 12.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 B Brazin 10.00 6 11-1
7 7 Ide Be Doc Adams 15.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Perfect Parade 20.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Dujac 20.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 11 It’s Mike’s Turn 1.80 SCRATCH
1 6 Myblendofwhisky 1.80 2.2 4-1
5 4 Future Ruler 4.50 3.7 7-1
6 5 D’money Honey 4.00 4 7-1
3 2 Bayou Bode 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 3 A Song for Arch 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Tensas Tough 12.00 5.8 11-1
2 1 Dewey’s Bull 15.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Rebel Gentleman 12.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 My Wise Cat 15.00 8.3 16-1
10 10 Q’ Mark 20.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Caesar Point 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Little Wise Guy 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Speedactus 12.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Uptown Bling 3.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 I’m d’Cat 2.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Thunder Box 4.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Boston Flash 12.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 My Hero Pappy 15.00 5.2 10-1
9 8 Worldly Cry 12.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Just a Breather 20.00 6.8 13-1
10 9 How About a Date 15.00 7.8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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