November 19, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
4 |
Sr.’s Thrill |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
6 |
Mission Oberon |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Charming Bobby |
1.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
1 |
Free for Nothing |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
2 |
Marty McFly |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
4 |
Maxwell Tyler B |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
5 |
Trusted Redemption |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
3 |
Carpenter |
30.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Partner’s Power |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Treasury Stock |
1.60 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Seventyseven Force |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Brilliant Worth |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cloudy Saturday |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Joe the Boss |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
De Punta a Punta |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
7 |
Royal Melbourne |
20.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Miss Fancy Nancy |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Heraway |
2.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Padrinoneverquits |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Unshackled |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Eldora |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Justin Time |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Secuencia |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Courtage |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Yes Mz Adah |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Iwishirish |
1.80 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Queena Esther |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Hopeful Angel |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
5 |
Viva Nevada |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
3 |
Sydney Time |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
4 |
Hersisterisachub |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
10 |
Sprawling |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Ready for Summer |
1.60 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3C |
7 |
Hy Rapid Lady |
2.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Boxing Betty |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2X |
4 |
Cheri’s Win |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Abets Abet |
2.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Backyard Boogie |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
3 |
Causeway Cutie |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
8 |
Miss Racey Bike |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Bourbon Honey |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Carry Your Heels |
1.80 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Blaze Star |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
River Miss |
4.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
She Loves Leather |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Really |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Trappe Play |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Girl Powder |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Ultimate Avary |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Dancing Cool |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lookingforanewspot |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Sweetest Yet |
1.60 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Nothin But Trouble |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Bon Heir |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Wildly Good Lookin |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Legacy’s Prince |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jw’strickymischief |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Midnight Harbor |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Little Siete |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Friend Frank |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Every Step |
4.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Team Ribot |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Cape Cod Sun |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Six Blade |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mr. Skittles |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sancho Del Pueblo |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Extrasexymazzerati |
3.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Champagne Event |
2.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
B C F’s Outrageous |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Eastern Front |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Grafico |
30.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Full Redemption |
30.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Fist of Thor |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.