Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 18, 2018

November 18, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Souper Riptide 2.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Vaughan 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Detroit Steel (IRE) 3.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Lafleur 2.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Spring Edition 12.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Papa D 10.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Mizuchi 12.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pink Scribbles 2.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Einstein’s Babe 2.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Brookies Bear 5.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Call Me Mrs. G 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Glittering Snow 3.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 She’s a True Fox 20.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Cara Lucia 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Brews Toonie Toss 1.40 2.7 5-1
4 4 Lucky Melissa 10.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Light My Path 2.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Capture Your Heart 4.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Geocentric 20.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Dance With Me Baby 10.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Splendid Glory 15.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Ginger Candy 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Conquest Eliminatr 5.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Lookin At Bravo 2.50 2.4 5-1
8 7 Court Battle 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Epilogue 8.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Mick the Conqueror 12.00 4.8 9-1
6 5 Itstartswithadrink 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Red Bo 10.00 4.9 9-1
5 4 Crumlin Night 12.00 6.1 12-1
7 6 Fiery Bear 20.00 7 13-1
9 8 Hope Vision 20.00 8.1 15-1
11 10 Red Chill 20.00 8.4 16-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Winsroy 20.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Quench My Thirst 3.00 2.2 4-1
9 8 Our Uncle Drew 3.50 3 6-1
8 7 Braver Then We Are 4.50 3.2 6-1
4 3 Eboracum 8.00 5.4 10-1
11 10 Summer Retreat 10.00 5.4 10-1
7 6 Spanish Major 6.00 6 11-1
10 9 Roman Nomen 12.00 6.2 12-1
6 5 Draxhall 20.00 7.2 14-1
5 4 Just Run With It 20.00 7.7 14-1
1 1 A Rated Breeze 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Monsoon Rain 2.00 2 4-1
7 7 Celtic Singer 2.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Flashinthepants 4.00 3.4 7-1
8 8 Potra Liza 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Perfect Road 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Queen of Summer 8.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Spring Forward 20.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Penny a Point 20.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Starling’s Law 12.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Best Bard 3.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Decision Day 4.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Chris’ Brew 8.00 4 8-1
6 5 Rocket Plan 10.00 5.5 10-1
11 10 Mind Magic 5.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Dexter Road 6.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Donation 20.00 6.6 12-1
10 9 Wage Acceleration 20.00 7 13-1
5 4 Watch Me Strut 20.00 7.3 14-1
8 7 Cito 15.00 7.5 14-1
12 11 Grom 20.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Coronation Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Avie’s Flatter 1.20 2.3 4-1
2 2 Tripwire 2.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 D Magician 12.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Federal Law 3.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Jammin Still 15.00 5 9-1
1 1 Moon Swings 20.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Samurai Queen 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Downy Boy 5.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Fahrenheit 4.00 3.6 7-1
11 11 Wolf Ridge 3.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Kid’s Mischief 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Frobisher Bay 6.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Poquito Bandito 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Station Rock 15.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Take Another Shot 20.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Courting a Kiss 15.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Tequila State 12.00 8.6 16-1
12 12 Red Frog 20.00 9.2 17-1
5 5 Royal Fuerst 20.00 9.4 18-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Occasional View 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Magical Man 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Not So Quiet 3.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Conquest Lemonraid 4.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Glacier 2.50 3.2 6-1
8 7 San Nicola Thunder 10.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Lokinforpursemonee 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Piven 6.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Sable Island 20.00 6 11-1
9 8 Spanish Express 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
16 16 If You Only Knew 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Bel Tempo 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Distinct Signature 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Easy Bid 3.00 2.5 5-1
8 7 Stormy Vision 8.00 3.3 6-1
7 6 Create an Edge 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 5 Essential 12.00 5.3 10-1
14 13 Lost a Sock 4.00 5.6 11-1
9 8 Best Dressed 10.00 6.9 13-1
10 9 Cheetahra 20.00 7.1 13-1
5 4 Sligo One 10.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Celtic Ring 20.00 7.6 14-1
11 10 Hanchy 20.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Bold n’ Foxy 20.00 8 15-1
12 11 Court Time 30.00 9.7 18-1
13 12 Chenes 20.00 10.7 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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