Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 18, 2018

November 18, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Black Queen 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 La Nena de Papa 4.00 3 6-1
3 3 E Lizzy 5.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 She’s Sassy 10.00 3.7 7-1
7 6 Revolving Storm 3.50 4 7-1
8 7 Baetykaty 1.40 4 8-1
5 4 Lethal Lil Lady 30.00 5.3 10-1
6 5 Grande Beso 30.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dancingthehnydaway 2.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Yellow Chick 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Izzadora Bella 1.60 2.2 4-1
5 5 Terpeye 5.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 True Upgrade 12.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Melodrama 15.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Keepmyeyeontheboys 20.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Sweet Lilly Factum 30.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Georgia Bonnet 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Island Getaway 0.80 2.2 4-1
6 5 Ocean Court 2.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Hanna Due 4.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Month of Sundays 10.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Layla’s Voyage 20.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Elijah’s Party 30.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3A 3 R Power Grid 3.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Lookingforanewhome 6.00 SCRATCH
7B 7 The Pooch 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Starship Thor 1.40 2.2 4-1
4A 3 Sunshine Sperry 3.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Samurai Zip 12.00 3.3 6-1
5B 4 The Pulse 4.00 3.8 7-1
9 6 Butch Cassidy 15.00 5.1 10-1
6 5 Salutation 20.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Our Curlene 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Firsttime Longtime 4.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Ebullient 10.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Secret Zar 3.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Risaalaat 12.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Golden Gala 15.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Molly McGee 6.00 6 11-1
8 8 Finishing School 15.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Helotes 12.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 Lolanita 20.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Agent Ninetynine 20.00 8.2 16-1
12 12 Diamond N Simon 15.00 9.4 18-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Doctorsofmischief 3.00 3 6-1
4 4 Fillupcohensapiker 1.20 3.1 6-1
6 6 Bobby’s Song 3.50 4 8-1
1 1 Your Pace Or Mine 10.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Pinkout 30.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Sensational Toy 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Isabella Swift 30.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Gobi 8.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Atina Salsa 3.00 4.3 8-1
7A 6 Bella Filomena 1.80 4.4 8-1
3 3 Madame Barbarian 10.00 4.7 9-1
11A 10 Luxicharm 1.80 4.8 9-1
1 1 Case Dismissed 15.00 4.8 9-1
8 7 Malandrina 5.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Exotic Appeal 20.00 5.9 11-1
6 5 Blue Shine 30.00 6.2 12-1
10 9 Doc Mo’s Daughter 12.00 6.4 12-1
9 8 Royalaspen 30.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sweetest Yet 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Mary Costa 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Mia Bella Rossa 2.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Teufles and Roses 12.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Gangbusters 8.00 4.2 8-1
10 8 Jemrose 4.50 5.1 10-1
7 6 Lendar 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 5 B B’s Busted 15.00 5.4 10-1
11 9 Lil Miss Hotshot 5.00 5.4 10-1
5 4 Norma’s Charm 20.00 5.6 11-1
9 7 Grazen Honor 20.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Anita Lass 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Racheybullbah 10.00 3 6-1
6 6 Kendyl Elizabeth 1.40 3.7 7-1
9 8 Rory P. 2.50 4.4 8-1
2 2 High Math 15.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Step N Out 20.00 5.1 10-1
10 9 Ageless Tales 8.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Saratoga Angel 30.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Somethingwithlilly 30.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Hello Moon 30.00 7.1 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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