Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 18, 2018

November 18, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Git On Your Pulpit 5.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Concur 1.60 1.9 4-1
1 1 Golden Ready 3.00 2.9 6-1
3 2 Normandy Beach 4.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 Teddy Bear 4.00 4.2 8-1
5 4 Why Not Us 15.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Generous Pour 3.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Bridal Arch 2.50 2.9 6-1
8 8 Honor Maker 4.00 4 8-1
7 7 Briartic Gal 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Majestic Diva 3.50 4.4 8-1
3 3 C. R. Golden Queen 8.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Lovely Linda 20.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Lookingforthewire 15.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tiger Dad 2.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Teacher’s Treasure 1.60 2.5 5-1
6 6 Feldspar 3.00 4 8-1
2 2 Scouted 10.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Posterize 8.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Like Really Smart 10.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Implicitly 4.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 For the Hustle 3.50 2.9 6-1
9 9 Hachiman 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Rak City 8.00 5 10-1
1 1 Supreme Giant 12.00 5.3 10-1
12 12 Derby Factor 6.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Road to Glory 6.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Grazeninamerica 6.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Sandbed 15.00 7.8 15-1
11 11 Achieved 30.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Paul’s Diva 20.00 8.4 16-1
10 10 Levi’s Saint James 30.00 9.6 18-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Rocky Rogue 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Billy the Hott 0.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Red Wine and Dine 0.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Silver Summer 20.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Mikes Tiznow 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 5 Coil Me Home 3.00 2.8 5-1
9 8 Joe Jackson 3.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Quick Finish 4.00 4 8-1
4 4 Hollywood Square 5.00 5.4 10-1
8 7 Luke’s On Fire 6.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Old Indian Trick 6.00 6 11-1
3 3 Buck Duane 15.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Allaboutaction 5.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Nero 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Best Two Minutes 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Conquest Cobra 5.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Cool Bobby 3.50 4 8-1
4 4 Denman’s Call 8.00 4 8-1
7 6 Goren 8.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 The Rule of King’s 20.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Afleeting Life 20.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Omaha Beach 1.60 2 4-1
8 7 Noble Nebraskan 3.00 3.4 6-1
4 3 Bob and Jackie 3.50 3.8 7-1
10 9 Istanbul 5.00 4.3 8-1
5 4 Macwinnon 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 5 Dinesen 8.00 5.5 10-1
9 8 Loomis 12.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Shining Through 20.00 7 13-1
2 2 All Out 20.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Cary Grant S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ann Arbor Eddie 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Edwards Going Left 2.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Touching Rainbows 2.50 2.7 5-1
9 8 Grecian Fire 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Solid Wager 4.00 4 8-1
1 1 Tough But Nice 12.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Shades of Victory 12.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Brandothebartender 20.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Minoso 30.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 According to Buddy 12.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Push Through 2.50 2.2 4-1
10 9 Captain Buzzkill 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 2 Cool Your Jets 3.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 Ostini 8.00 4.7 9-1
9 8 Hit the Seam 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Bouncing Around 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 4 Single Me Out 8.00 5.6 11-1
4 3 Reckless Gravity 15.00 6.6 13-1
6 5 When Jesus Walked 30.00 7.6 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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