November 18, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Git On Your Pulpit |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Concur |
1.60 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Golden Ready |
3.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Normandy Beach |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Teddy Bear |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Why Not Us |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Generous Pour |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bridal Arch |
2.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Honor Maker |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Briartic Gal |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Majestic Diva |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
C. R. Golden Queen |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lovely Linda |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lookingforthewire |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Tiger Dad |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Teacher’s Treasure |
1.60 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Feldspar |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Scouted |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Posterize |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Like Really Smart |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Implicitly |
4.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
For the Hustle |
3.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Hachiman |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rak City |
8.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Supreme Giant |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
12 |
12 |
Derby Factor |
6.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Road to Glory |
6.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Grazeninamerica |
6.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sandbed |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
11 |
11 |
Achieved |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Paul’s Diva |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
10 |
10 |
Levi’s Saint James |
30.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Rocky Rogue |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Billy the Hott |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Red Wine and Dine |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Silver Summer |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Mikes Tiznow |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
Coil Me Home |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
9 |
8 |
Joe Jackson |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Quick Finish |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hollywood Square |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
Luke’s On Fire |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Old Indian Trick |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Buck Duane |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Allaboutaction |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
7 |
Nero |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Best Two Minutes |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Conquest Cobra |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cool Bobby |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Denman’s Call |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Goren |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
The Rule of King’s |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Afleeting Life |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Omaha Beach |
1.60 |
2 |
4-1 |
8 |
7 |
Noble Nebraskan |
3.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Bob and Jackie |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
10 |
9 |
Istanbul |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Macwinnon |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Dinesen |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
9 |
8 |
Loomis |
12.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shining Through |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
All Out |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Cary Grant S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Ann Arbor Eddie |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Edwards Going Left |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Touching Rainbows |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
9 |
8 |
Grecian Fire |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Solid Wager |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tough But Nice |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Shades of Victory |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Brandothebartender |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Minoso |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
According to Buddy |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Push Through |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
10 |
9 |
Captain Buzzkill |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
2 |
Cool Your Jets |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
7 |
Ostini |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
9 |
8 |
Hit the Seam |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bouncing Around |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
4 |
Single Me Out |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
3 |
Reckless Gravity |
15.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
6 |
5 |
When Jesus Walked |
30.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.