November 17, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
My Cantata |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Marsantropist |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kiss the Princess |
3.50 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tallievision |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Court Central |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lovin Spoon Phil |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lake Manitou |
6.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Articulate |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Londie Lou |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Bilky Bluz |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lady Bella |
2.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Capucine |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
I Miss You |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Scarlet Bow |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Abogada |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Freshieintheforest |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
No Chill |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Musical Flight |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Foxxy Belle |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Post to Post |
3.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
No Extensions |
2.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Forest Lass |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lillz So Precious |
20.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
Stroll to the Beat |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Stay Determined |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Ault |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Drink in My Hand |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Nupogodi |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
R U Watchingbud |
20.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Silent Contempt |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tinker Ring |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sumerian Bell |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Blu Without You |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Shaded |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Dynamic Solution |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Verradassah |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
2 |
Kewanne |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Trickeration |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
12 |
11 |
Shamruckus |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
11 |
10 |
Mahone Bay |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
10 |
9 |
Double Crossed |
8.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
8 |
7 |
Sam’n Cat |
12.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
4 |
3 |
Marquette |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
9 |
8 |
Gray Dove |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
7 |
6 |
Naupaka |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
6 |
5 |
Overturned |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Bit’s Lover Boy |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Bakersfield |
1.60 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
2 |
Jurojin |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Yallhaveaniceday |
2.50 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Oversteering |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
1 |
Canada Wise Don |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Like Your Excuse |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
6 |
Brady O’Brady |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Ben Lomond |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Heydon’s Case |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Areocentric |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Marcus |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Precious Badge |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Water Polo |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Kentucky Charm |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jimbo Five |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – South Ocean S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Preferred Guest |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Notice Me |
1.60 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Miss Ariel |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Crumlin Time |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Falcon’s View |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Cobra Casablanca |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Gamble’s Candy |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Scat’s Rose |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Princess Fabiana |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
1 |
Love On a Fence |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
2 |
Blue Eyed Girl |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Ka Gee Gee |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Muskoka Lady |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
Miss Tea Blonde |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Veaisha |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dublin Diva |
1.60 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sweet Rhapsody |
4.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Boathouse View |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Green Doctor |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Congeniality |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hatch Gate |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Fine Grit |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Street Cat Sam |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
9 |
Starinthemaking |
3.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Chestermere |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Handsome Like Me |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
9 |
8 |
Makemineamanhattan |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
O’Kram |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
6 |
Zephan |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
Lookin At Matteo |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
3 |
Athena’s Legacy |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
6 |
5 |
Gator Spy |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
13 |
11 |
Victory L. |
20.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
14 |
12 |
Northern Mike |
20.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
12 |
10 |
Shantelle’s Chance |
30.00 |
9.9 |
19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.