November 17, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 10 | Worth His Salt | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 8 | Fleet Gold Digger | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cinco Y Cinco | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Marq One | 1.60 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ring Necked | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Only You | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Noble Kent | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Adaptor | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wild Man | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Promise Illgetyou | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Offlee Optimistic | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Princess Areni | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Angry Patty | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Queen Fantabulous | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Aussie Mist | 1.60 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Royal Current | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Heart Beat Away | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Weekend Babe | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | Queena Esther | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Viva Nevada | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 5 | Banana Anna | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Brazilian Symphony | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Persuasive Girl | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jill Madden | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | One Tough Angel | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Marnesia Big Girl | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Don’s Escapade | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Impactful | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Gates of Dawn | 1.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Always Free | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Jw’s Third Mischie | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Street Officer | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Spun to Run | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Black Light | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dubrovsky | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Charlybrown’s Rose | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Celesse | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Love On Fire | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Peach Alley | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Smokinpaddylassie | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Msmissioncomplete | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rapidez | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Romance | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Share the Ride | 1.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | True Boldness | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yeah Rocky | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Winning the Medal | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tighten Up | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Razzo | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Draxhall Woods | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | I’m Not Joking | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Truth in the Lies | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Rose Tree | 1.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Modacious | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Singing Sarah | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mother Ginger | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Awesome Singer | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tale of Promise | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Lee | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Billy Youre Fired | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vampa | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trainfourtwentyone | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pnutbutter Special | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Success Hurricane | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Champagneonme | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | M G Broker | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ole Mole | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Billy No Sabay | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Enchantabull | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | La Vale | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hijinks | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Batmitzvah | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s a Monster | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Princess Rose | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bellamy Cat | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kisskiss Telltell | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.