Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 17, 2018

November 17, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 10 Worth His Salt 1.20 SCRATCH
1 8 Fleet Gold Digger 1.20 2.3 4-1
3 2 Cinco Y Cinco 15.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Marq One 1.60 4.7 9-1
8 7 Ring Necked 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 3 Only You 12.00 4.7 9-1
2 1 Noble Kent 20.00 4.9 9-1
7 6 Adaptor 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 4 Wild Man 30.00 6.2 12-1
6 5 Promise Illgetyou 30.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Offlee Optimistic 12.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Princess Areni 1.40 2.7 5-1
1 1 Angry Patty 20.00 4 7-1
4 3 Queen Fantabulous 10.00 4 8-1
7 6 Aussie Mist 1.60 4.2 8-1
8 7 Royal Current 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 4 Heart Beat Away 15.00 4.5 9-1
6 5 Weekend Babe 20.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 4 Queena Esther 1.20 SCRATCH
2 1 Viva Nevada 12.00 SCRATCH
1A 5 Banana Anna 1.20 2.2 4-1
5 3 Brazilian Symphony 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 6 Persuasive Girl 3.50 3.7 7-1
8 7 Jill Madden 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 2 One Tough Angel 15.00 4.7 9-1
3 1 Marnesia Big Girl 30.00 5.1 10-1
6 4 Don’s Escapade 10.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Impactful 12.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Gates of Dawn 1.00 2.4 4-1
2 1 Always Free 4.00 2.4 5-1
3 2 Jw’s Third Mischie 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 6 Street Officer 5.00 4.5 8-1
6 5 Spun to Run 10.00 4.9 9-1
5 4 Black Light 20.00 5.2 10-1
8 7 Dubrovsky 30.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Charlybrown’s Rose 6.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Celesse 1.40 2.8 5-1
2 1 Love On Fire 12.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Peach Alley 2.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 Smokinpaddylassie 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 2 Msmissioncomplete 10.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 Rapidez 30.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mr. Romance 4.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Share the Ride 1.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 True Boldness 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Yeah Rocky 12.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Winning the Medal 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Tighten Up 15.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Red Razzo 20.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Draxhall Woods 10.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 I’m Not Joking 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Truth in the Lies 6.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Rose Tree 1.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Modacious 2.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Singing Sarah 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Mother Ginger 12.00 3.6 7-1
8 6 Awesome Singer 15.00 5.1 10-1
6 5 Tale of Promise 30.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lucky Lee 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Billy Youre Fired 5.00 3 6-1
3 3 Vampa 6.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Trainfourtwentyone 8.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Pnutbutter Special 4.50 5.1 10-1
6 6 Success Hurricane 10.00 6 11-1
5 5 Champagneonme 12.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 M G Broker 10.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Ole Mole 15.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Billy No Sabay 2.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Enchantabull 5.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 La Vale 3.50 4.1 8-1
3 3 Hijinks 6.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Batmitzvah 4.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 She’s a Monster 20.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Princess Rose 15.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Bellamy Cat 30.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Kisskiss Telltell 12.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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