Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 17, 2018

November 17, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 China Cat 1.80 2.6 5-1
1 1 Nightlife 3.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Souper Escape 6.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Luna Fortis 3.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Havennow 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Wrong Color 15.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Awesome Aphra 12.00 6 11-1
2 2 Fairy Wish 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hidden Bamboo 1.20 3 6-1
1 1 Trapper’s Delight 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Ticker Tape Parade 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Boondoggle 4.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 A Rose by Any Name 5.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Great Nation 10.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Unclenedwhodrank 15.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8A 8 Ransom Past Due 3.50 2.9 6-1
5 5 Pretty Enuff 1.80 3.4 6-1
2A 2 Bodega Bay 3.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Moon Virginia 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Three Illusions 6.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Prevailing Party 10.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Floating By 4.50 5.7 11-1
4 4 Sally O’Prado 6.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 15 At the Rapids 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Flirtation Walk 2.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Lucky Dilly 8.00 3.7 7-1
13 13 Tri Poker 12.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Full of Drama 10.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Caterina One 10.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 American Star 12.00 5.8 11-1
12 12 Weekends for Work 5.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Big Mama Drama 15.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Classy to D’ Bone 15.00 8 15-1
1 1 Molly’s Dolly 20.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 Sharp 15.00 9.6 18-1
2 2 Sun Valley Star 20.00 10.1 19-1
7 7 Mi Karlita 20.00 10.3 19-1
11 11 Mucha Flamenca 15.00 10.6 20-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Feel Proud 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Cause He’s Western 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Zarski 4.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Lon’s True Passion 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Promote 3.00 3 6-1
7 7 The Catmancan 4.50 3.6 7-1
8 8 Junction 3.50 3.8 7-1
9 9 Mountain Cry 3.50 4.8 9-1
3 3 Posterity 8.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Greek God 12.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Ride This Train 15.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Young Dude 20.00 6 11-1
2 2 Hush Hush Henny 30.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Brother Slick Nick 20.00 8.2 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 City Gold 3.00 2.9 5-1
10 10 High Society 8.00 4.4 8-1
13 13 Mr. Magician 12.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Brahms Romp 3.50 4.9 9-1
7 7 Super Vision 6.00 6.1 11-1
11 11 Uhwarrie Sky 15.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Watch Your Words 15.00 6.6 13-1
4 4 Roman Warrior 10.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Smart Two a T 12.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Barin 15.00 8 15-1
8 8 Jai Blue 20.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 Totally Unexpected 20.00 8.7 16-1
9 9 Wildly Clever 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Menacing 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Takedown 2.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Do Yahwanna Salsa 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Sparty 3.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Lion Lord 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Tattooed 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Huyana 12.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Broad Expanse 15.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Workaholic 1.60 1.8 3-1
8 8 Olive Kat 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Belial 4.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Past Perfect 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Destiny Over Fate 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Heningham 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Waiting for a Star 20.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Channing Road 30.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tapitontheside 20.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Ten Hut 3.50 3.2 6-1
8 7 Iredell 4.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Joy Drive 1.60 3.4 6-1
2 2 Social Stranger 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Grecian Prince 10.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Apolodorodedamasco 6.00 5.3 10-1
7 6 The Curt Fox (GB) 15.00 5.9 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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