Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 17, 2018

November 17, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Coliseum 2.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Railman 3.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Figure Eight 2.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Light of the World 5.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Northwestern 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Trial by Fire 6.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Justin’s Quest 2.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Aggressivity 2.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Holly Blame 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Momma’s Baby Boy 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Caribbean (AUS) 3.00 4 8-1
3 3 Dawood 12.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Causeididitmyway 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Extreme Heat 2.50 2.6 5-1
8 8 Blame Joe 2.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 American Currency 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Turnaround 6.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Builder 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Catch Fire 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Street Zombie 8.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Lucky Pegasus 30.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cute Knows Cute 3.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Come On Kat 3.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Spectacular Move 4.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Amers 5.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Uno Trouble Maker 4.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Twisted Rosie 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Empress of Lov 8.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 My Man Chuckles 2.50 2.3 4-1
8 8 Hitters Park 3.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Sword Fighter 3.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Buckys Pick 4.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Sir Samson 20.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Market Sentiment 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 P Club 15.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Invasion Looming 15.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Jump the Tracks 2.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Vintage Hollywood 3.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Whoa Buddy 5.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 From the Distance 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 June Two Four 6.00 5 9-1
9 9 Gryffindor 6.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Livin On Prayer 6.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Spirit World 30.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Tap Tap Boom 12.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Lovely Finish 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Radish 4.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Paprika 2.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Into Rissa 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Weather Market 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Absolutely Perfect 4.50 4.5 9-1
5 5 Miss Voluptuous 8.00 6 11-1
3 3 Spectacular Storm 20.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Just Kathy 20.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Bob Hope S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sueno 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Metropol 0.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Mucho Gusto 2.50 2.1 4-1
6 5 Sparky Ville 3.00 2.9 5-1
2 1 Extra Hope 3.50 3.1 6-1
4 3 Savagery 4.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Owning 15.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Vending Machine 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Matriculate 3.50 3.6 7-1
8 8 Baby Bear’s Soup 5.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Louden’s Gray 4.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Go Ghetto 4.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Finallygotabentley 12.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Air Pocket 20.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Pick One 20.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Lion Command 20.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Many Treats 30.00 8.7 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Upcoming Bankroll Contests
Saturday Gulfstream Park
Begins Sat, Jul 20 12:45 PM ET
Saturday Parx Racing
Begins Sat, Jul 20 12:55 PM ET
Saturday Saratoga
Begins Sat, Jul 20 1:00 PM ET
Saturday Woodbine
Begins Sat, Jul 20 1:05 PM ET
Saturday Early MLB Baseball
Begins Sat, Jul 20 1:05 PM ET
Saturday Prairie Meadows
Begins Sat, Jul 20 2:00 PM ET
Saturday Arlington
Begins Sat, Jul 20 2:25 PM ET
Go To Lobby
SFTB Plus

$10 a Month Gets You DFS Optimizers, Horse Racing Advanced Stats, and More.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More
SFTB Parties

Choose Your Events and Create Your Own Sportsbook for You and Your Friends.

Only $3 to set up, and includes unlimited guests.

Learn More
Scoreboard
MLB Baseball
7:10 PM ET
Oakland Athletics
Minnesota Twins
Details
Mexico - Primera Division, Apertura
6:00 PM ET
Pachuca
Club León
Details
Mexico - Primera Division, Apertura
6:00 PM ET
Atletico de San Luis
Pumas UNAM
Details
Mexico - Primera Division, Apertura
8:05 PM ET
Club América
Monterrey
Details
Mexico - Primera Division, Apertura
10:00 PM ET
Tigres UANL
Monarcas Morelia
Details
Mexico - Primera Division, Apertura
10:00 PM ET
Club Necaxa
Cruz Azul
Details
MLB Baseball
7:10 PM ET
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
Details
MLB Baseball
1:05 PM ET
Colorado Rockies
New York Yankees
Details
MLB Baseball
7:20 PM ET
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
Details
MLB Baseball
2:20 PM ET
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
Details
Go to Scoreboard