November 17, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Coliseum | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Railman | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Figure Eight | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Light of the World | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Northwestern | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trial by Fire | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Justin’s Quest | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aggressivity | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holly Blame | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Momma’s Baby Boy | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Caribbean (AUS) | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dawood | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Causeididitmyway | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Extreme Heat | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blame Joe | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | American Currency | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Turnaround | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Builder | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Catch Fire | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Street Zombie | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Pegasus | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cute Knows Cute | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Come On Kat | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spectacular Move | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amers | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uno Trouble Maker | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Twisted Rosie | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Empress of Lov | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | My Man Chuckles | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hitters Park | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sword Fighter | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Buckys Pick | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Samson | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Market Sentiment | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | P Club | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Invasion Looming | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jump the Tracks | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vintage Hollywood | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whoa Buddy | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | From the Distance | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | June Two Four | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gryffindor | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Livin On Prayer | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spirit World | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tap Tap Boom | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Lovely Finish | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Radish | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Paprika | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Into Rissa | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Weather Market | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Absolutely Perfect | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Voluptuous | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spectacular Storm | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just Kathy | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Bob Hope S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sueno | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Metropol | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Mucho Gusto | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sparky Ville | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Extra Hope | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Savagery | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Owning | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Vending Machine | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Matriculate | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Baby Bear’s Soup | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Louden’s Gray | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Go Ghetto | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Finallygotabentley | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Air Pocket | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pick One | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lion Command | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Many Treats | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.