Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 16, 2018

November 16, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Trusty Roll 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Tiger Eyes 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Pink Princess 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Tiz Emily and Jill 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Gangbusters 10.00 SCRATCH
3 1 Bye Bye Blues 3.00 2 4-1
4 2 Stella Nova 6.00 3 6-1
8 4 Party Rock 5.00 3.1 6-1
7 3 Haveaniceweekend 20.00 4.4 8-1
10 5 Truly Hot 8.00 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sleighbelle 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Cocktail Waitress 2.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Rosy’s Rainbow 1.80 2.6 5-1
2 2 Nightmare 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Little Laughs 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 I’m Listening 8.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Windixiewin 12.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Colonel Sharp 3.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Something Awesome 1.40 2.7 5-1
2 2 Irish Colonel 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Glory Stars 4.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Sonny Inspired 8.00 5 9-1
5 5 Just Call Kenny 10.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Tiz a Deal 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Carved 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Lill Mave 1.60 SCRATCH
3 3 Lost Scroll 30.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Hey Mabel 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 2 Shall Try 12.00 3.4 6-1
11A 8 Running Tide 6.00 5.1 10-1
9 6 Spooky Tooth 12.00 5.5 10-1
10 7 Lutenanny 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 4 Jacobella 20.00 5.8 11-1
6 3 One Smart Caller 30.00 5.9 11-1
14A 10 Scip It All 6.00 6.1 12-1
8 5 Capable Lady 30.00 7.1 13-1
12 9 Donna’s Delight 15.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5A 5 Silver Dagger 1.80 SCRATCH
3 3 Intrepid Citizen 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 He’s One Wild Dude 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Bay Bridge 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Martini Kid 10.00 SCRATCH
16 16 No Knock Raid 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Springers Point 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Jump Street Hero 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Lon’s True Passion 30.00 SCRATCH
2A 1 Etruscan 1.80 2.2 4-1
9 4 Blow the Whistle 2.00 3.3 6-1
4 2 Berliner 3.00 3.4 6-1
10 5 Gold Man 2.50 4.3 8-1
13 7 Sebray 15.00 5.1 10-1
8 3 Who Stole My Sock 30.00 5.5 10-1
12 6 Ore Pass 20.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Empire Panther 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Dah Philly 1.40 3.3 6-1
1 1 Colton’s Horseplay 5.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Boom Boom Gone 12.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Jabuticaba 5.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Inflight 15.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 A Little Info 12.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hip Hop 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Rumor Ridge 4.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Baccarat Fashion 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 New Year’s Wish 3.00 3.6 7-1
7 6 Miss Jak 1.60 3.7 7-1
3 3 Rithm and Rap 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 In Jail 10.00 5.3 10-1
8 7 Cherryandthehawk 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Three Phase 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Invigorous 5.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Beyond the Victory 4.50 4 8-1
3 3 Thatwouldbegrand 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Lippi Lorenzo 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Wait for Dark 10.00 5.9 11-1
11 10 Mount Travers 5.00 6.3 12-1
10 9 Sunman 8.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Sapphire Shilling 20.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Hall Pass 12.00 6.9 13-1
12 11 Regally Irish 10.00 7.5 14-1
9 8 Gimme Some Truth 15.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Talk Less 12.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Mythos 4.00 2.2 4-1
2 1 Feel Proud 6.00 3 6-1
8 7 Pleiadian 4.50 4.5 8-1
5 4 Tonbo 6.00 4.5 9-1
7 6 Zen’s Land 5.00 4.8 9-1
4 3 C B Bodemester 15.00 6.1 12-1
9 8 Rumblin Kyle 6.00 6.3 12-1
10 9 Definitely Tonight 10.00 6.8 13-1
6 5 Mid Ocean 15.00 6.9 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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