November 16, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Two Fifty Coup | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baby Frankie | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Terrier | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bea’s Boy | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Principe Carlo | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swamp Souffle | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Colormemoney | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gringo Star | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bob’s All In | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Don’t Stalk Me | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yes I’m Ready | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Master Ruler | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Damiano | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Trial by Fire | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Seeking Refuge | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Haydens Havoc | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Truck Salesman | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ka’nah | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Storms River | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bold Endeavor | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nice Work | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Caecilius | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thermal Heat | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kelly’s Humor | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Steph Being Steph | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dominating Woman | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lightning Dove | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spring Lily | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smiling Tigress | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lake Time | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Indi Luck | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Handsome John | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mulzoff | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Starring John Wain | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Its Five Somewhere | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forestation | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ultra Lucky | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Poppy’s C Note | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Sea of Liberty | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Hammurabi’s Law | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Avanti Bello | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just Kidding | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crown the Kitten | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beantown Boys | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arch Prince | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mercer Island | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ferguson | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Clear the Mine | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Comma Sister | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Muchos Besos | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kodiak West (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Retro | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | K P Pergoliscious (IRE) | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Blame Judy | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nice Ice | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sappho (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stradella Road | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pacific Strike | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Blaze of Glory | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bitter Ring Home | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Friendly Steve | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Valiant | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Serve Me a Double | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Elevate | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Calie View | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Rebel | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Alphadar | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Game of Roans | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.