November 16, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 2 | Home It Tiz | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Allured | 1.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Personal Time | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Replicator | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rucksack | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bold Gem | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Monster Bea | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Bern’ James Bern | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Tricked Up | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Giant Run | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Astounding | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Ironclad | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zinger | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Top of the Page | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Poshsky | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Support Our Cause | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Domain | 0.40 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alrahaal | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Huracan | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pragmatist | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Won the Byng | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | It’s a Lovely Day | 1.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Margie Cat | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rose of Dublin | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pendolino | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mimic | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Devil’s Flair | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quietude | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Scripted | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Emerald Quality | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sophie Germain | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Formal Event | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Loyalty | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | You Promise | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Eareckson (GB) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Astoundment | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2A | 2 | Fuji | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5B | 5 | Optimization (GB) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Limage | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sweet Timing | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Passion Flower | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Stefanie On Fleek | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Queen Medb (IRE) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Delta’s Kingdom | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 15B | 6 | Indexation | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Marilyn | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 5 | Whyisshesoolucky | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 4 | Shall We Dance | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Eternally | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 16A | 7 | Dizzy | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Harkness | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Glossy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Tapping Colors | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | A Great Time | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Offer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Eloweasel | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Jimi Bags | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tap Tap Taparoo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 4 | Naples Princess | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 15 | 7 | Bluegrass Jamboree | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 5 | Palladian Bridge | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 6 | Wisconsin Night | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 1 | Dancing All Night | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 3 | Cosita Mia | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 2 | Transaction Tax | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Puffery | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Salty Smile | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | My Won Love | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peril | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Out of Orbit | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Peaches and Spice | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Cool as You Like | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Sundance Joy | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Beaux Arts | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Something Joyful | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Free Kitty | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Discreet Cathy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Bella’s Game | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Merlins Muse | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Cetara | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Forever Daisy | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Tiz Priceless | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Salt Pond | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jo Jo’s Candy | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 8 | Parlapiano | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 7 | Cathy Naz | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Votre Coeur | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Trouble for Skylar | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.