November 15, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 8 | Geauxcro | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ricky Dale | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Asongforyou | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beto | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Buckets | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | D’tuff Cat Rey | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Victory Trip | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hampton Roads | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Borodino | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Latrobe’s King | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wristlet | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Haney | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moneyinmypocket | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lethal Move | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Red Roux | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Greeley’s Glacken | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Vincenator | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Miss Moronette | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Open Forest | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Starry Ide Elaine | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lu Sea | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tessa’s Treat | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Diva’s Ransom | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Salute My Lady | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just Cruising | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Titanium Girl | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ryan and Madison | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lunarstrike | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Havinfunyet | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Snip | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kentucky Brown | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Behold the Queen | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sage’s Epiphany | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kool Aid Girl | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mizzen Air | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hopette | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forgotten | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Mr. Nine Five Four | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Shaniko’s Secret | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mister Frenchie | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cookies Are Good | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jericho | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cameron Rules | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heir to Dream | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | A He’s an O’Prado | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Santa Americana | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Whoajoey | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Captain Tyree | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Zenucci | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | In Charge Halo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | True Emperor | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Harbor Pilot | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bam Bam Bryan | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Impressive Student | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ruston Vow | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | King Cake | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cash First | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ready Prospector | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | My First Guitar | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Skylar’s Way | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Say Yes Again | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Onetwomanyrockets | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Kris T. | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Fantasy | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lagniappe | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whodatwhodat | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bellamy Cay | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rule Taylor Rule | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Starlet Scarlett | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Preemptive | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Haleys Court | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 15 | 12 | Wasnt Joking | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Adieu Mallory | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Argument Won | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Tears for Paula | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Tom Benson Memorial Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Vanishing Image | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Remember Daisy | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Pacific Pink | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Safari Calamari | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mi Copa Rebosa | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hyper Piper | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mr. Al’s Gal | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Bermuda Star | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Eskenformore | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Temple Shadow | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Royal Alexandra | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ourgoldshalaylee | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Satellite | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pleasant Street | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seeking Fast | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Delta Eighty Eight | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Netela | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss You Jo | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bad and Tough | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magic Maniac | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Beauty Boy | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Raise Em Up | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | French Command | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.