November 15, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Miss Alegria | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Devils Dance | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Stormy D | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rather Nosy | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gallantlystreaming (IRE) | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Me Mo My | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Elusively | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sooner Better | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Redrock Trail | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rockandahardplace | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classy Chasie | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Silent Alarm | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ack | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bean Street | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spectator’s Dream | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mo See Cal | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aunt Lubie | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Starr of Quality | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whirling | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Convince | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chickatini | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Journal Entry | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Breezy Bee | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tig Tog (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gattaia | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sensible Thoughts | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | See That Kat | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Super Good | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bella Papa | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | K P’s Smokin | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rolling Shadow | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Copper Cowgirl | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Inland Empire | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Treat | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Peachy | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sugaratsundown | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mousey Mousey | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pray for Corday | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Objective | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sold It | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Apples Arch | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shut It Up | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Data Storm Kitty | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Comegowithme | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Harmless | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Any Two Cards | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ninety Nine Proof | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Minoso | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | California Journey | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Duluth | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Ground Attack | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Plain Wrap | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | King Abner | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | New Karma | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Terrys Tom Cat | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Tartini | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tough It Out | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Soul | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red King | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Icy Street | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alsatian | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Saltini | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Epical | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Save Ground | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hard Fought | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gain Ground | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.