November 15, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | September Gurl | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mary’s Girl | 1.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Traci’s Girl | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Anydayisherday | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mats Checkride | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ego | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | My Pirate | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Michael Wonderful | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Phone Funky Munky | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Coltandmississippi | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Accolade | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maimo | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Double Deep | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Hills Pond | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Four Knights | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Proximate to Power | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tordito’s Bank | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Wild Boar | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Klickitat | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Woodbury | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Southern King | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Poker Game | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Taptaptap | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Quietly Quick | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Super Mama | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Smart Throb | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Youth Gone Wild | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Nazay | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Lady Camille | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Reconsider It | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Frederica | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Low Is Laine | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Fiveinthemorning | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | My Victoria Rose | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unparalleled | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Catania Rose | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Bourbon High | 50.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Seattle Frost | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Girlie’s Dream | 50.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Full of Run | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Altesino | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Mr. Wonderful | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ragnar Lothbrok | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flipped | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Joe’s Smokin Gun | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Infield Is In | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dig Deeper | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Moviemaker | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Stylishly | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Aspen Summer | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Frankly J’ray | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Tapin Through Life | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Fiamma d’Oro | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Goldmakesmesmile | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Aoife | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Azm | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grayjavu | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Merger Arbitrage | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cadeau de Paix | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rappel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Fixed Point | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Canarsie Kid | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Foolish Ghost | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | McErin | 1.60 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mad Munnys | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | No Regrets | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | La Maquina Gris | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wet Your Whistle | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Life in Shambles | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Timber Ghost | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pete’s Play Call | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ajnadeen | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Killybegs Captain | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Still Krz | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rectify | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Tribecca | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Cerretalto | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Benevolence | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Morning Breez | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stoney Bennett | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sicilia Mike | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arthur’s Hope | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Horoscope | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | T Loves a Fight | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bavaro | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.