Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, November 14, 2018

November 14, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Pretty Production 4.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Midge’s Magic 3.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Show’em the Heat 3.00 4 7-1
1 1 Blakes Happiness 8.00 4 8-1
8 8 Tiz One Fee 2.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Word of the Day 15.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Harvey’s Song 30.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Val’s Pal 12.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Becca’s Diamond 3.50 3 6-1
6 6 Heaven’s Creation 1.80 3.2 6-1
1 1 Roadtogold 4.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Hot Rail 2.50 4.5 9-1
5 5 Secret Brass 12.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Sparkling Red Jet 20.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Commanding Action 15.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Deep End 30.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Madeforlife 2.50 2 4-1
3 3 Flash Hands 3.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Our Story 4.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Tumble Along 3.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Just Willow 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Snowball 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 La Louisiane 15.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Galaxy Girl 12.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 My Little Jen 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Skipadee Due Da 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Stay Ready 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Careless Whisper 2.50 2 4-1
2 2 Red Fern Doll 4.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Ringneckdove 4.50 4.4 8-1
7 6 Castle Zip 3.50 4.6 9-1
4 4 Sunny Sister 15.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Emma’s Gift 15.00 6.2 12-1
9 8 Late Appointment 12.00 6.3 12-1
12 10 Town Surprise 6.00 6.5 12-1
10 9 Indygo Rocket 12.00 6.6 13-1
8 7 Threepeat 20.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Man Alive 12.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Eldon’s Jet 2.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Aticketforwill 4.50 3.1 6-1
3 2 Ohmymy Ohmyyes 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Drewtempo 3.50 4.1 8-1
4 3 Bubba C 15.00 5.5 10-1
8 7 Biermann 8.00 5.5 10-1
10 9 Cherry Freeze 6.00 5.8 11-1
7 6 Scissor Bill 30.00 6.8 13-1
9 8 Some of Merit 15.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hatties Jewel 2.50 2 4-1
2 2 Blarney 5.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Hawks Peak 3.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Senor Guitar 4.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Toast to Don 12.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Big Maurice 6.00 6 11-1
3 3 Good Gosh Gene 30.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Grand Hoga 10.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Doodee 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Sammie’s Touch 20.00 SCRATCH
1 10 Giagiajoe 5.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Asdrubal 3.00 2.5 5-1
1A 9 Pi 5.00 3.7 7-1
2 1 Harlons Commision 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 4 Our Millie 4.00 4.2 8-1
10 8 Untethered Soul 3.50 4.5 8-1
4 3 Miso Smooth 12.00 6 11-1
6 5 La Reina Isabel 10.00 6 11-1
9 7 Dale’s Lil Sis 12.00 7 13-1
7 6 Chloe Raven 15.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 11 Cayenne 4.50 SCRATCH
5 4 Big Boy Dave Rex 3.00 3.3 6-1
1 5 A We Bit Flirty 4.50 3.6 7-1
4 3 Lucky Lydgate 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Alex’s Turn 3.50 4.6 9-1
3 2 Machinist 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Exton 6.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Exigent 8.00 5.9 11-1
2 1 Jade Star 20.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Star Banjo 15.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Due Apeal 20.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Too Much Gone 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Steppin’ Outonher 3.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Warned 2.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Etbauer’s Ide 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Zacksgotthis 5.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Flashy Smile 4.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Man of Bethel 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Big Red Cat 20.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Burning Runner 30.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Forum Form 30.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Silk Shirt Johnnie 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Bella Cinderella 20.00 SCRATCH
3 2 You Could Be Mine 3.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Pates Cat 8.00 3.4 6-1
9 8 Harlans Warrior 3.00 4 8-1
7 6 Perfectly Precious 4.00 4.5 8-1
5 4 One Song 8.00 5.2 10-1
10 9 Toga Dance 6.00 5.4 10-1
4 3 Herencia 10.00 5.6 11-1
6 5 American Mom 15.00 6.8 13-1
8 7 Te Na Na 20.00 8.1 15-1
11 10 Lil China 15.00 8.3 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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