November 11, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Malibu At Midnight |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rings of Jupiter |
1.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
I’m a Factum |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Shotmaster |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Vocab |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Secret Secret |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Venezuelan Success |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cottonall |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Snowfly |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Sweet Thing |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Animal Lady |
2.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Power Booked |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Flippity Flop |
1.40 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sweet Summer Star |
10.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dilly Dedalus |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Rigel’s Halo |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
5 |
Carole’s Rainbow |
30.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
9 |
8 |
J D’s Pride |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
10 |
9 |
Reyana Reya Delite |
30.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Kelly’s Silver |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mantle |
1.40 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Forest River |
1.20 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rebel Vow |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Match the Pot |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Nile Gold |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kion |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Talia Doll |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Diva Drama |
2.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Don Vito’s Kitty |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Afleet Destiny |
1.60 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
1 |
Victoria E |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
New Jersey |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Hay Buck |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8C |
8 |
Brockton George |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
1 |
Shiitake |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
9C |
9 |
Speedy A. P. |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
7B |
7 |
Take the Stromboli |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
2A |
1 |
Die Hard Di |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4B |
3 |
Conquest Kronos |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Mario’s Revenge |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
12 |
8 |
Lori’s Folly |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Bennyluvspoker |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
11 |
7 |
Ninetyeighttwo |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
4 |
D. S. Boyd |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
10 |
6 |
True Blue |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
The Italian |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3A |
3 |
One Eyed Ray |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
One More Round |
2.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Son of Sanibel |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7A |
7 |
X Y Runner |
4.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Blinding |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
C K Dexter Haven |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
P J’s Bad Boy |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Graymond |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Harley B |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Giant Rocks |
30.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
12 |
12 |
Strong Breeze |
20.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Midnight Games |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Match Up |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
To the Victor |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Tairneach |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Credo |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
5 |
Gurt Boys |
4.50 |
4 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Thomas Knight |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
D T Goodie |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
9 |
7 |
Chelios |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
6 |
Doddsprivatelabel |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Guinness Spice |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Curtis |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jiggy Cheese Dog |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pascal Chant |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
10 |
9 |
Lazarus Project |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
Dennis’ Diamond |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
11 |
10 |
Inky Dinky Do |
8.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
12 |
11 |
Love Is Your Name |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
9 |
8 |
Workin On a Dream |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
My Man Pots N Pans |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
I Am the Man |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Swell |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Wise Trade |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Miss Rage |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Grand Blue Harbor |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Brandon’s Law |
1.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Deep Canyon |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Paula’s Dream |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jerseymooseisloose |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
Glowing Star |
10.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Timely Pleasure |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Barb’s Gray Girl |
20.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Saturdays Game |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
12 |
12 |
Coleslittlemonster |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.