November 11, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Railmaster 6.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Johnny Banks 1.60 1.8 3-1
10 9 Monumental Vending 10.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Hunt Me Down 6.00 4 8-1
3 2 Lunar Boogie 6.00 4.3 8-1
9 8 Road to Oz 4.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 Tiraboschi 12.00 4.8 9-1
5A 4 I’ll Make U Famous 15.00 6.6 12-1
4 3 Sofranko 30.00 7.4 14-1
8A 7 Chili Mac N Cheese 15.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tambora 2.50 2.9 6-1
1 1 Vineyard 3.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Stroll Smokin 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Godlovesasinner 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Calculated Thinkin 3.50 4.5 8-1
6 6 Free to Trump 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Jack of Spades 12.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Knock Out Kid 2.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Sip of Sunshine 1.40 3.1 6-1
3 3 Harbour Way 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 My Muchacha 4.50 4.3 8-1
5A 5 Nana’s Shoes 12.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Swirrlie Shirlie 15.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Yours to Keep 15.00 6.2 12-1
7A 7 Starr Designer 12.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Padrino’s Heart 12.00 SCRATCH
7 6 By the Sey Shore 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 5 Honor Run 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 1 Celtic Treasure 5.00 3.6 7-1
10 9 Nick Papagiorgio 8.00 4.7 9-1
8 7 Quality Step 10.00 4.7 9-1
11 10 Vee’s Super Star 4.00 5.6 11-1
4 3 Higher Purpose 12.00 6.3 12-1
3 2 Disputed Notion 30.00 7.6 14-1
5 4 Seany P 15.00 7.6 14-1
9 8 Rafter 12.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
16 16 Holly’s Lady 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Mi Karlita 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Secret Alchemy 6.00 SCRATCH
11 10 Ellanation 4.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Raging Blaze 6.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Gallinella 6.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Bratt Stack 10.00 5.6 11-1
9 8 Facts Don’t Matter 3.50 6.2 12-1
14 13 Swing 3.00 6.3 12-1
13 12 Kentucky Smooth 10.00 6.5 12-1
8 7 Artful Splatter 8.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Sunday Red 12.00 7.4 14-1
12 11 Umightbeanempress 15.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Fifteen K 20.00 7.9 15-1
10 9 Kateandlillian 10.00 8.2 16-1
7 6 Lawn Dart 12.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 The Walk 3.00 3 6-1
5 5 Calvi 3.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 So Good 2.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Chinquapin 5.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Praise the Moon 8.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Sidewalk Prophet 8.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Edify 15.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bonus Points 1.80 3 6-1
6 6 Adulator 3.50 3 6-1
4 4 Saratoga Jack 5.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Belfour 4.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Imperative 12.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Douglas Road 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Analyze 15.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Neetee Rides Again 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Veil Dance 5.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Off the Bourbon 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Ginger in Disguise 12.00 SCRATCH
15 12 Jazzy Juder 0.60 2.9 5-1
5 4 Final Fear 3.00 4 8-1
10 8 Dorcas Carey 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 3 Angelinas Star 4.00 4.9 9-1
7 6 Towson 8.00 5.2 10-1
3 2 Wiggle Room 6.00 5.9 11-1
9 7 Two Carat 12.00 6.9 13-1
12 9 Tizadoozi 20.00 6.9 13-1
14 11 Be Humble 15.00 7.7 15-1
13 10 Bella Bambina 20.00 8.1 15-1
6 5 Krantiguru 20.00 8.7 17-1
1 1 Temple Sky 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9A 9 Bringyourownbottle 1.80 SCRATCH
7A 7 On the Hop 1.80 2.6 5-1
4 4 Feelin Foxie 2.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Silent Prayer 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Joyful Noise 8.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Saturday’s Rein 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Gingeresk 5.00 5.5 10-1
10 9 Jokers Tothe Right 12.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Cherokee Fire 15.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Chancee 20.00 7.6 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.