November 11, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Railmaster | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Johnny Banks | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Monumental Vending | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hunt Me Down | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lunar Boogie | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Road to Oz | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiraboschi | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5A | 4 | I’ll Make U Famous | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sofranko | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8A | 7 | Chili Mac N Cheese | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tambora | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vineyard | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stroll Smokin | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Godlovesasinner | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Calculated Thinkin | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Free to Trump | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jack of Spades | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Knock Out Kid | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sip of Sunshine | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Harbour Way | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Muchacha | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5A | 5 | Nana’s Shoes | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swirrlie Shirlie | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yours to Keep | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7A | 7 | Starr Designer | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Padrino’s Heart | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | By the Sey Shore | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Honor Run | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Celtic Treasure | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Nick Papagiorgio | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Quality Step | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Vee’s Super Star | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Higher Purpose | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Disputed Notion | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Seany P | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rafter | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Holly’s Lady | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mi Karlita | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Secret Alchemy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Ellanation | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Raging Blaze | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gallinella | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bratt Stack | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Facts Don’t Matter | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Swing | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Kentucky Smooth | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Artful Splatter | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sunday Red | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Umightbeanempress | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fifteen K | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Kateandlillian | 10.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lawn Dart | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | The Walk | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Calvi | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | So Good | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chinquapin | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Praise the Moon | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sidewalk Prophet | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Edify | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bonus Points | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Adulator | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saratoga Jack | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Belfour | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Imperative | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Douglas Road | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Analyze | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Neetee Rides Again | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Veil Dance | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Off the Bourbon | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Ginger in Disguise | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 12 | Jazzy Juder | 0.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Final Fear | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Dorcas Carey | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Angelinas Star | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Towson | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wiggle Room | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Two Carat | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Tizadoozi | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Be Humble | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Bella Bambina | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Krantiguru | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Temple Sky | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9A | 9 | Bringyourownbottle | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7A | 7 | On the Hop | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Feelin Foxie | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Prayer | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Joyful Noise | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saturday’s Rein | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gingeresk | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Jokers Tothe Right | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cherokee Fire | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chancee | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.