November 10, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kiki N King | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Wacky Pal | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Icey Cash | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 1 | Worth a Shot | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 4 | Scotty Brown | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Show Prince | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Southern Brigade | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Quiet Out East | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 14A | 10 | Beachside | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Trance | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Highest Rank | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Kid Chocolate | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | Awesome Adversary | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Not That Brady | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Southeast | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Felix in Fabula | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Merger of Banks | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | There Goes Jose | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vicar’s Legend | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gio Lucky | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Till Then | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Family Biz | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Haikal | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mine the Coin | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Romeo | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dillon Rocks | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Illume | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Loverboy Lou | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lil Commissioner | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sport | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Risky Sour | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Lemon Blitz | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Ten Eyck | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Overnight Success | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Florentine Kitten | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 6 | Expert | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 5 | Stronger | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Pocket Player | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 7 | Curlin’s New Moon | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 4 | American Ninja | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | On Patrol | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Rockin Jo | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Corcoran | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Motagally | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Erlich | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tacitus | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Skyline Surprise | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bridgetothefuture | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ninja Dust | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Calamity Kat | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Atlantic Beach S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gins and Tins | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Good Good | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Backtohisroots | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Absentee | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wallace | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Neverland Rock (GB) | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Honorable Hero | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Strong Side | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American Power | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Four Freedoms | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Take It to Scale | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Action | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Consensus Thinking | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American Rule | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flatexcel | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Truly a Moon Shot | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Artie Schiller S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Proforma | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dalarna | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Qurbaan | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Papa Zulu | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Projected (GB) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Blacktype (FR) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Bricks and Mortar | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Dr. Edgar | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Profiteer | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 4 | Exulting | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Black Tide | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Backsideofthemoon | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10A | 10 | Buss the Bell | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Takeoff | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Chamo | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Can’tweallgetalong | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pirate’s Treasure | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8A | 8 | Cookie Crisp | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spa Jazz | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Abominable Snowman | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The I Man | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shipsandgoods | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.