Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 9, 2018

November 9, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Clear the Mine 3.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 My Farmer 2.50 3 6-1
4 4 Papa Turf 5.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Dedicated to You 12.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Plum Dandy 4.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Elwood J 5.00 5 9-1
6 6 Twirling Tiger 5.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Trappiza 4.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Sweet Congrats 2.50 2.9 6-1
1 1 Eskenforadrink 1.80 3.2 6-1
5 5 Irish Lassie 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Heloise 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Princess Nicole 15.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Spectacular Storm 8.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Super Patriot 3.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Speakers 3.50 3.1 6-1
8 8 Marjorie E 2.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 X S Gold 5.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Tenthousandreasons 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Tapitha Bonita 6.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Sapphire Kid 8.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Scathing 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Easy Shot 2.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Trojan Magic 2.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Manhattan Up 3.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Platinum Nights 5.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Montana Moon 6.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Muskoka 10.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mongolian Window 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Foxtail 4.50 3.5 7-1
9 9 Sunday Prophet 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Take a Leap 3.50 3.5 7-1
10 10 Trust Fund Kitty 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Lil Bit Dangerous 5.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Lucky Knickers 12.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Chalky (IRE) 20.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Take Charge Gal 15.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Ezpzylemonsqueezy 20.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Red Envelope 2.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Big Barrel 2.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Clyde’s Pride 4.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Sidepocket Action 5.00 4 8-1
5 5 Dubnation 3.50 4.8 9-1
4 4 Leroy Pegasus 20.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Champsachamp 15.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Kathryn Crosby S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Pyscho Sister 0.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Pantsonfire (IRE) 0.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Way to Versailles 3.50 2.6 5-1
6 5 Quebec 4.50 2.6 5-1
8 7 Tonahutu (IRE) 6.00 3.9 7-1
11 10 Last Promise Kept 5.00 4.4 8-1
10 9 Sweet Charity (FR) 6.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Gliding By 8.00 5.8 11-1
13 11 Birdie Gold 10.00 6.5 12-1
4 3 Excellent Sunset (IRE) 8.00 6.7 13-1
3 2 Miss Southern Miss 20.00 7.9 15-1
9 8 Escape Clause 20.00 9 17-1
5 4 Shehastheritestuff 20.00 9.2 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Norwegian 1.60 2 4-1
4 4 Queen Carmelita 10.00 4 8-1
10 10 Orca 5.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Equal Measure 3.50 5.3 10-1
9 9 Ron’s Cat 12.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Tiz a Master 6.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Kate’s Princess 12.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Depende de Ti 30.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Morning Press 20.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Hinini 12.00 7.4 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement providesĀ no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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