November 9, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Clear the Mine | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Farmer | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Papa Turf | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dedicated to You | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Plum Dandy | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Elwood J | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twirling Tiger | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Trappiza | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Congrats | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eskenforadrink | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Lassie | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heloise | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Nicole | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spectacular Storm | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Super Patriot | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Speakers | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Marjorie E | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | X S Gold | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tenthousandreasons | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tapitha Bonita | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sapphire Kid | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scathing | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Easy Shot | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trojan Magic | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Manhattan Up | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Platinum Nights | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Montana Moon | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Muskoka | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mongolian Window | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Foxtail | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sunday Prophet | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Take a Leap | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Trust Fund Kitty | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lil Bit Dangerous | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Knickers | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chalky (IRE) | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Take Charge Gal | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ezpzylemonsqueezy | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Red Envelope | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Barrel | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Clyde’s Pride | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sidepocket Action | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dubnation | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Leroy Pegasus | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Champsachamp | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Kathryn Crosby S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pyscho Sister | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Pantsonfire (IRE) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Way to Versailles | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Quebec | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tonahutu (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Last Promise Kept | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sweet Charity (FR) | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gliding By | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Birdie Gold | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Excellent Sunset (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Miss Southern Miss | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Escape Clause | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shehastheritestuff | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Norwegian | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Queen Carmelita | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Orca | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Equal Measure | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ron’s Cat | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz a Master | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kate’s Princess | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Depende de Ti | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Morning Press | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hinini | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.