November 9, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Wild Type 5.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Dovey Lovey 0.80 3.3 6-1
2 2 Champagne Bliss 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Brass Ring 3.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Marina View 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Hand Rail 10.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Triumphant 4.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Katama Moonlight 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Smoken Deb 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Ebullient 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Positive Skew 4.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Shannon’s Girl 3.00 3 6-1
5 5 And She’s Gone 6.00 4.5 8-1
10 10 Lady Grace 4.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Tide Storm 10.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Getmotherarose 8.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Andrea’s Pride 6.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Periodical 15.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Tweety Kitten 30.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Elegant Rose 15.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Chutzpah 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Solitary Gem 2.50 SCRATCH
5 4 Diamond Jen Brady 3.00 2.9 5-1
4 3 Tayler’s the Boss 4.50 3.2 6-1
2 1 Mazmania 12.00 4 7-1
6 5 Simona 6.00 4.1 8-1
9 7 Mo Flash 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 2 Tiffany’s Vision 15.00 5.2 10-1
8 6 Exceed the Goal 10.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Docs Way 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Mary’s Girl 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Miss Flambe 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Forever Changed 1.60 SCRATCH
14 14 B B Molly 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Renninas Rose 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Plink Freud 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 4 Ideational 3.00 3.2 6-1
4 3 Kathy’s Cause 8.00 4 8-1
6 5 Molly’s Party 5.00 4.1 8-1
10 8 Winifred J 6.00 5.1 10-1
3 2 Brezza 12.00 5.7 11-1
8 6 Bella Via Mi Amor 8.00 5.9 11-1
9 7 Y’allcomenow 10.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Honey Graeme 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Saida 2.00 1.8 3-1
6 5 My Won Love 3.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Daria’s Angel 4.50 4.1 8-1
7 6 Arewehavingfunyet 3.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 Woundwithhereyes 15.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Mercurian 15.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 La Cat Warrior 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Smokin Platinum 2.50 3 6-1
3 3 Discreet Mission 4.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Kerry Boy 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Lem Me Tel Ya 10.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Suas 3.50 4.8 9-1
8 8 Freud’s Affair 5.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Formal Start 15.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Inalienable Rights 20.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 I Love Jaxson 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Blugrascat’s Smile 3.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Blewitt 1.40 SCRATCH
6 6 No Hayne No Gayne 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Haul Anchor 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Five Star Bunt 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Chic N Wilbur 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Evaluator 8.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Way Early 2.00 2.4 4-1
3 2 Gambler’s Fallacy 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 1 Gio d’Oro 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Mobridge 4.50 4 8-1
7 5 Hoboe 5.00 4.6 9-1
9 6 Mascarello 15.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bold Thunder 20.00 SCRATCH
14A 14 Killybegs Captain 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Stolen Pistol 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Pete’s Play Call 2.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Toughest ‘Ombre 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Gypsum Johnny 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Still Krz 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Battle Station 4.50 2.6 5-1
4 2 Dr. Shane 4.00 2.9 6-1
10 7 Tombelaine 3.50 3.7 7-1
8 5 End Play 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 3 Blessed Halo 12.00 4.7 9-1
7A 4 Harlan’s Harmony 12.00 5.2 10-1
9 6 Axtell 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Too Fast to Pass 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Professor Snape 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Roll Tide Roll 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Rockford 3.50 SCRATCH
3 2 Nobody Move 4.50 2.9 6-1
7 5 Proud Zip 4.00 3.1 6-1
5 3 Kenyan 10.00 3.7 7-1
2 1 King Kranz 30.00 4.2 8-1
6 4 No Distortion 12.00 4.3 8-1
10 6 Halloween Horror 10.00 4.6 9-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.