November 9, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wild Type | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dovey Lovey | 0.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Champagne Bliss | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brass Ring | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marina View | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hand Rail | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Triumphant | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Katama Moonlight | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Smoken Deb | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ebullient | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Positive Skew | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shannon’s Girl | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | And She’s Gone | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lady Grace | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tide Storm | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Getmotherarose | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Andrea’s Pride | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Periodical | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tweety Kitten | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Elegant Rose | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chutzpah | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Solitary Gem | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Diamond Jen Brady | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tayler’s the Boss | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mazmania | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Simona | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Mo Flash | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tiffany’s Vision | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Exceed the Goal | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Docs Way | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mary’s Girl | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Miss Flambe | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Forever Changed | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | B B Molly | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Renninas Rose | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Plink Freud | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ideational | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kathy’s Cause | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Molly’s Party | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Winifred J | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Brezza | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Bella Via Mi Amor | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Y’allcomenow | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Honey Graeme | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Saida | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | My Won Love | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Daria’s Angel | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Arewehavingfunyet | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Woundwithhereyes | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mercurian | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | La Cat Warrior | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Smokin Platinum | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Discreet Mission | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kerry Boy | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lem Me Tel Ya | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Suas | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Freud’s Affair | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Formal Start | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Inalienable Rights | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | I Love Jaxson | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Blugrascat’s Smile | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Blewitt | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | No Hayne No Gayne | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Haul Anchor | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Five Star Bunt | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Chic N Wilbur | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Evaluator | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Way Early | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Gambler’s Fallacy | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Gio d’Oro | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mobridge | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Hoboe | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Mascarello | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bold Thunder | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14A | 14 | Killybegs Captain | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Stolen Pistol | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Pete’s Play Call | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Toughest ‘Ombre | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Gypsum Johnny | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Still Krz | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Battle Station | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Dr. Shane | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Tombelaine | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | End Play | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Blessed Halo | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7A | 4 | Harlan’s Harmony | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Axtell | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Too Fast to Pass | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Professor Snape | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Roll Tide Roll | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Rockford | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Nobody Move | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Proud Zip | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Kenyan | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | King Kranz | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | No Distortion | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Halloween Horror | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.