November 3, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | All I Can Say | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bless His Heart | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Astonishing Tweet | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lil Milo | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Icouldonlyimagine | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Drops in the Ocean | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | According to Buddy | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Levi’s Saint James | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ma Bella | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Staythirstymyamigo | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cash for Cass | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Disco Tale | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Dolfina | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Palm d’Oro | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Discrete Stevie B | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sass Machine | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Depende de Ti | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Time and Chance | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Happiness | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Helen’s Tiger | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | A Little Bit Me | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Nine Point Nine | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Tizanillusion | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Naughty Sophie | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Chatty | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Favorite Trip | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Believe Indeed | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Best Two Minutes | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Microrithms | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Montmartre | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Junior Gilliam | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Allaboutaction | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aristocratic | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rough Passage | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Creative Hit | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Ride to the Wire | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Facts Matter | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Heartfullofstars | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Older Brother | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Son of War | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Earnednevergiven | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hoss Cartwright | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stylistics United | 50.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Queen Bee to You | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Dis Smart Cat | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Snow Cloud (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Easy Grader | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moon Kitty | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tyfosha | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kentan Road | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Family Girl | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jest a Princess | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dhafeera (GB) | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Stretford End | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Street Image | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Mandate | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ack | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Anothertwistafate | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Count Di Luna | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Da Kine | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Railman | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Taos | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Damiano | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mutineer | 15.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Drink to That | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Senator Ken Maddy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | I’m Betty G | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Painting Corners | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Storm the Hill | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rubilinda | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Go On Mary | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Travieza | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Poster Girl (GB) | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bernina Star | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Out of The Flames (GB) | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Miss Southern Miss | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | She Began Again | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Cioppino Pasadino | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Easter Dream | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Kristie’s Heart | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Gemini Journey | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Generous Pour | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Miz Tianjin | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Sought More Pep | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Honor Maker | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hero for Hire | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Majestic Diva | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Lovely Linda | 50.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Golden State Juvenile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Our Silver Oak | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Cruel Intention | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Galilean | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Luck’s Royal Flush | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Listing | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Whooping Jay | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oliver | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | I Belong to Becky | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Offshore Affair | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nice Haircut | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Opus Won | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Irish Heatwave | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Peedie | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unusual Rider | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Poppy’s C Note | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Concord Jet | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Smokey Pirate | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unusual Angel | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cyprus Souljah | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.