November 2, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4A | 4 | Huracan | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Freudian Analyst | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Hot Mesa | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Fearless Foe | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Tom’s Music | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Dublin Leprechaun | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Telecommunication | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Confederation | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Flat Out Jayvien | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Truly a Moon Shot | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Missle Bomb | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | All Clear | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dirty | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pagliacci | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Dr. Shane | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Major Force | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Yummy Bear | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Bourbon Currency | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Corot | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tolaga Bay | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Collins Ave | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11A | 11 | Eliav | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Impazible Odds | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Angelo’s Corner | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Willing to Speed | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hardcore Folklore | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Cotton House | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bridgetothefuture | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6A | 6 | Golden Brew | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Empiremeister | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | That’s Speightful | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bestinthebusiness | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cottonwood Falls | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hurricane Sheila | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Our Circle of Love | 1.20 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Avery | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Science Fiction | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sienna Blue Eyes (IRE) | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Summer Bourbon | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sal the Turtle | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Samadi Sky | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bluegrass Flash | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rectify | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mighty Zealous | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | H Man | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ostrolenka | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sol the Freud | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Bernin’ Thru Gold | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Winning Factor | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Skole | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Chronos | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Haikal | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Camouflaged Kisser | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Real Money | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Front Run the Fed | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Halstaat | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Southern Phantom | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | The Other Kessler | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Justcallmenorman | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pulsate | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Party With Friends | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Mid Day Image | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Ninja Dust | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Bold Ruler H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Coal Front | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No Dozing | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | True Timber | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Delta Prince | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Petrov | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bon Raison | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | One More Tom | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Blame the Thief | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Discreet Mission | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Flipped | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Magnetron | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Smooth Move | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Elenzee | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Three to Thirteen | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mango M | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ides of Arch | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Phone Funky Munky | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Risky Sour | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Not So Quiet Man | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Time Expired | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | River Knight | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Tempted S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hollywood Glory | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Two Dozen Roses | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Seek and Destroy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Enliven | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Takecharge Mirella | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Surge of Pride | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Brucia La Terra | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Group Text | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Oxy Lady | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Enjay’s Brass | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Twofer | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scripted | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Malarkey | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rapid Route | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Mikayah | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Impazible Creek | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Blushing Justine | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Formal Event | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | You Promise | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Eight Minute Ellie | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.